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Veranopolis vs Inter Santa Maria

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Ruan
43' Event
Gabriel Morbeck
81' Event
Jarro Pedroso

AI Match Summary

Inter Santa Maria in this Gaucho 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter Santa Maria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Veranopolis
30%
Draws
34%
Inter Santa Maria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Veranopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Veranopolis average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Inter Santa Maria's 0.88.
  • Model gives Veranopolis a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Inter Santa Maria have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Veranopolis Clean Sheet 68%
Inter Santa Maria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Veranopolis Inter Santa Maria
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 13
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Veranopolis
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Gaucho 2
Veranopolis vs Inter Santa Maria
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Gaucho 2
Veranopolis vs Inter Santa Maria
0:1
Jul 18, 2024 Gaucho 2
Inter Santa Maria vs Veranopolis
1:0
Jul 15, 2024 Gaucho 2
Veranopolis vs Inter Santa Maria
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Veranopolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Inter Santa Maria Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Morbeck
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jarro Pedroso
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Veranopolis 46 / 100
Inter Santa Maria 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Veranopolis Inter Santa Maria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Veranopolis scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Inter Santa Maria has conceded goals in 52% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Veranopolis has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Veranopolis VS Inter Santa Maria
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Inter Santa Maria2
GE Bage0
Passo Fundo3
Veranopolis4
Aimore3
Lajeadense0
Novo Hamburgo5
Gramadense1
Semi-finals
Inter Santa Maria3
Veranopolis1
Aimore1
Novo Hamburgo3
Final
Inter Santa Maria2
Novo Hamburgo3