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Verdal vs Lillestrom 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Andersson P.
72' Event
Neto L.
86' Event
Woxen H.

AI Match Summary

Lillestrom 2 in this Division 3 - Group 4 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lillestrom 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Verdal
15%
Draws
85%
Lillestrom 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Verdal haven't matched Lillestrom 2's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lillestrom 2 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Verdal Clean Sheet 11%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verdal Lillestrom 2
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 6 0
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.43 3.33
Goals Conceded 3.07 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Verdal vs Lillestrom 2
0:4
Jun 16, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Lillestrom 2 vs Verdal
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Verdal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Lillestrom 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Neto L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verdal 10 / 100
Lillestrom 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verdal Lillestrom 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom 2 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Verdal scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Lillestrom 2 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lillestrom 2
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Verdal

(Home)
24 Jan
Levanger
10 : 1
Verdal
13 Apr
Verdal
0 : 8
Levanger
27 Oct
Verdal
1 : 6
Nardo
20 Oct
Melhus
4 : 0
Verdal
05 Oct
Verdal
1 : 3
Tiller
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Lillestrom 2

(Away)
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
16 Aug
Lillestrom 2
3 : 4
Harstad
10 Aug
Skjetten
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
03 Aug
Lillestrom 2
4 : 5
Kongsvinger 2
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