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Verdy vs FC Tokyo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Verdy host FC Tokyo in the J1 League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Verdy at 0.93 goals for, 1.39 against; FC Tokyo at 1.93 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Verdy have won 1 to FC Tokyo's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (0.38 - 1.94) back FC Tokyo to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Verdy
15%
Draws
58%
FC Tokyo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Tokyo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Tokyo lately — more wins on the board than Verdy.
  • FC Tokyo are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Verdy Clean Sheet 10%
FC Tokyo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verdy FC Tokyo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.39 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Verdy
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 J1 League
Verdy vs FC Tokyo
1:0
Sep 15, 2025 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Verdy
1:0
Apr 2, 2025 J1 League
Verdy vs FC Tokyo
2:2
Aug 17, 2024 J1 League
FC Tokyo vs Verdy
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verdy 10 / 100
FC Tokyo 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verdy FC Tokyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tokyo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verdy found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

FC Tokyo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Verdy went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Verdy VS FC Tokyo
0.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Verdy

(Home)
07 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1
Verdy
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1
Verdy
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1
Verdy
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1
Chiba
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1
Verdy
Page 1 of 6

FC Tokyo

(Away)
07 Oct
FC Tokyo
4 : 0
Shonan Bellmare
29 Sept
Ehime
0 : 2
FC Tokyo
19 Sept
FC Tokyo
1 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
12 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 2
FC Tokyo
06 Sept
FC Tokyo
2 : 0
Kyoto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashiwa Reysol 9 7 0 2 21:14 21
2 Machida Zelvia 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 FC Tokyo 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
4 Vissel Kobe 9 6 1 2 14:9 19
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 5 2 1 20:6 17
6 Kashima Antlers 9 5 1 3 19:16 16
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
8 Kawasaki Frontale 8 3 4 1 16:12 13
9 Okayama 9 4 1 4 12:12 13
10 Urawa Reds 9 4 0 5 16:21 12
11 Cerezo Osaka 9 3 3 3 7:12 12
12 Shimizu S-Pulse 8 3 1 4 6:8 10
13 Mito 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
14 Kyoto 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 8 2 2 4 10:15 8
16 Avispa Fukuoka 9 2 1 6 11:13 7
17 Nagoya Grampus 8 2 0 6 7:14 6
18 Gamba Osaka 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
19 Verdy 8 0 4 4 4:12 4
20 Chiba 8 1 1 6 7:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)