Sport Picks
Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo 
Match Events
2'
2'
Hayashi N.
Assist: Meshino S.
11'
11'
Endo K.
Assist: Nakagawa N.
55'
55'
Sub
Hirakawa R. In: Kumatoriya I.
Out: Hirakawa R.
AI Match Summary
Kashiwa Reysol in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kashiwa Reysol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kashiwa Reysol have won more games recently than Verdy.
- Model gives Kashiwa Reysol a 54% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Verdy Clean Sheet 10%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Verdy | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 J1 League
Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol
1:3
May 3, 2026 J1 League
Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol
1:0
Feb 15, 2026 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Verdy
1:2
Jun 15, 2025 J1 League
Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol
0:3
Jun 8, 2025 J.League Cup
Kashiwa Reysol vs Verdy
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Verdy Compare
Top Goalscorer Hayashi N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Kashiwa Reysol Compare
Top Goalscorer Endo K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Segawa Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Verdy 10 / 100
Kashiwa Reysol 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Verdy Kashiwa Reysol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kashiwa Reysol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Verdy's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Kashiwa Reysol has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Verdy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Verdy VS Kashiwa Reysol
0.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Verdy
(Home) 07 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1 Verdy
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1 Verdy
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1 Verdy
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1 Chiba
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1 Verdy
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1 Chiba
02 Sept
Verdy
0 : 2 Vissel Kobe
29 Aug
Verdy
0 : 2 Kashima Antlers
26 Aug
Verdy
4 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
14 Aug
Verdy
1 : 3 Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 3
Kashiwa Reysol
(Away) 09 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2 Vissel Kobe
03 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
5 : 4 Gamba Osaka
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0 Imabari
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4 Kashiwa Reysol
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4 Kashiwa Reysol
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3 Kashiwa Reysol
02 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
29 Aug
Shimizu S-Pulse
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashiwa Reysol | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 2 | Machida Zelvia | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:9 | 19 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Avispa Fukuoka | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
