Sport Picks
Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
Emperors Cup Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo 
Match Events
14'
14'
Harada T.
24'
24'
Kanda S.
38'
38'
Matsuhashi Y.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Verdy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Thespakusatsu Gunma haven't matched Verdy's recent run of results.
- Verdy are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Verdy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Verdy, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Verdy Clean Sheet 20%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Verdy | Thespakusatsu Gunma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 14 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup
Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
4:1
Oct 1, 2023 J2 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Verdy
0:0
Jun 18, 2023 J2 League
Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
2:2
Jun 7, 2023 Emperors Cup
Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
2:1
Sep 10, 2022 J2 League
Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Verdy Compare
Top Goalscorer Kanda S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kumatoriya I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare
Top Goalscorer Izuma S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Verdy 67 / 100
Thespakusatsu Gunma 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Verdy Thespakusatsu Gunma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Verdy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Thespakusatsu Gunma has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Verdy found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Verdy remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Verdy VS Thespakusatsu Gunma
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Verdy
(Home) 07 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1 Verdy
29 Sept
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1 Verdy
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1 Verdy
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1 Chiba
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1 Verdy
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1 Chiba
02 Sept
Verdy
0 : 2 Vissel Kobe
29 Aug
Verdy
0 : 2 Kashima Antlers
26 Aug
Verdy
4 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
14 Aug
Verdy
1 : 3 Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma
(Away) 03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Kumamoto
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0 Kochi United
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
05 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3 Fukushima United
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03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
30 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Aug
Verdy
4 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
19 Aug
Tohoku Gakuin University
1 : 3 Thespakusatsu Gunma
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Atletico Suzuka 2
Basara Hyogo 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
Kofu -
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 3
Kumamoto 2
Verdy -
TBD -
Tohoku Gakuin University 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 2
Urayasu SC 0
Iwata -
TBD -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka -
TBD -
Reilac Shiga 2
Japan Soccer 1
Tokushima -
TBD -
FC Tokushima 1
Kawasoe Club 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Okinawa 2
Iwaki -
TBD -
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Okayama -
TBD -
Belugarosso Iwami 2
Nagasaki Intl University 0
Chiba -
TBD -
Arterivo Wakayama 0
Azul Claro Numazu 6
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Veroskronos Tsuno 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
TBD -
Toyama -
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
Verspah Oita 3
Kochi United 0
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Ryutsu Keizai University 1
Criacao Shinjuku 2
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Senshu University 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Imabari -
TBD -
TBD -
Blaublitz -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Fukushima United 7
Oyama 0
Mito -
TBD -
Kanazawa 1
Kyoto Sangyo 4
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Yamanashi Gakuin 1
Tokyo International University 0
Omiya Ardija -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Gifu 3
Toyama Shinjo 1
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Kyoto -
TBD -
SRC Hiroshima 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 6
Montedio Yamagata -
TBD -
TBD -
Fujieda MYFC -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Nara Club 1
FC Osaka 4
V-Varen Nagasaki -
TBD -
Ehime 2
International Pacific Univesity 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
Sapporo University FC 0
Vegalta Sendai -
TBD -
TBD -
Tochigi City -
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Nagano Parceiro 2
Fukui Utd. 1
Shonan Bellmare -
TBD -
Reinmeer Aomori 15
Akita University 0
1/32-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 3
Nagoya Grampus 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Verdy 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Tochigi SC 1
Iwata 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Gamba Osaka 2
Reilac Shiga 0
Tokushima 3
FC Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Okinawa 1
Iwaki 2
Oita Trinita 0
Okayama 3
Belugarosso Iwami 0
Chiba 2
Azul Claro Numazu 1
Vissel Kobe 2
Veroskronos Tsuno 1
Sagan Tosu 4
Toyama 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Verspah Oita 0
Yokohama FC 3
Criacao Shinjuku 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Senshu University 1
Imabari 4
Blaublitz 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Fukushima United 0
Mito 0
Kyoto Sangyo 2
Urawa Reds 3
Yamanashi Gakuin 0
Omiya Ardija 2
Vanraure 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gifu 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 4
Kyoto 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 0
Montedio Yamagata 3
Fujieda MYFC 5
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
FC Osaka 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Ehime 2
Machida Zelvia 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Tochigi City 2
FC Tokyo 6
Nagano Parceiro 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Reinmeer Aomori 0
1/16-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Kofu 1
Gainare Tottori 0
Verdy 1
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0
Gamba Osaka 5
Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Iwaki 0
Okayama 1
Chiba 0
Vissel Kobe 1
Sagan Tosu 0
Avispa Fukuoka 0
Yokohama FC 1
Kashiwa Reysol 4
Imabari 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Kyoto Sangyo 1
Urawa Reds 3
Omiya Ardija 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Kagoshima United 0
Kyoto 1
Fujieda MYFC 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Machida Zelvia 2
Tochigi City 1
FC Tokyo 4
Shonan Bellmare 0
1/8-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
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