Sport Picks

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Vere United vs Chapelton

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2024/2025 Wembley Centre of Excellence, Hayes
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ellis J.
25' Event
Howe N.
46' Event
Pegoretti Marcos

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Vere United and Chapelton finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chapelton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vere United
6%
Draws
90%
Chapelton
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chapelton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chapelton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Chapelton taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Vere United Clean Sheet 20%
Chapelton Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vere United Chapelton
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Premier League
Vere United vs Chapelton
1:3
Feb 16, 2025 Premier League
Chapelton vs Vere United
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Premier League
Vere United vs Chapelton
2:1
Apr 11, 2023 Premier League
Chapelton vs Vere United
0:4
Jan 8, 2023 Premier League
Vere United vs Chapelton
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vere United Compare

Top Goalscorer Pegoretti Marcos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Chapelton Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellis J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Howe N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vere United 10 / 100
Chapelton 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vere United Chapelton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapelton has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Chapelton has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Vere United's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chapelton
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vere United

(Home)
04 May
Vere United
1 : 3
Chapelton
27 Apr
Harbour View
6 : 0
Vere United
22 Apr
Arnett Gardens
3 : 1
Vere United
13 Apr
Vere United
1 : 2
Tivoli
06 Apr
Cavalier
3 : 1
Vere United
Page 1 of 6

Chapelton

(Away)
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
26 Apr
Chapelton
6 : 2
Spanish Town Police
24 Apr
Mount Pleasant
5 : 2
Chapelton
19 Apr
Chapelton
0 : 2
Portmore
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant39296494:2193
2Arnett Gardens392210774:3976
3Montego Bay392112662:2875
4Cavalier391815665:4369
5Portmore391812946:2566
6Tivoli3915131161:4858
7Waterhouse3916101344:4258
8Racing United3913121443:5051
9Chapelton399102036:5937
10FC Dunbeholden391072234:6737
11Harbour View39992138:5836
12Molynes United39982240:7635
13Humble Lions397122034:6533
14Vere United39582632:8223
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Play Offs)