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Vere United vs Montego Bay

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2024/2025 Wembley Centre of Excellence
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Fletcher J.
30'
Pegoretti Marcos
34'
Butler K.

AI Match Summary

Montego Bay in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montego Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vere United
6%
Draws
90%
Montego Bay
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Montego Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Montego Bay have won more games recently than Vere United.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Montego Bay taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Montego Bay have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vere United Clean Sheet 17%
Montego Bay Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vere United Montego Bay
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2025 Premier League
Vere United vs Montego Bay
1:2
Dec 24, 2024 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Vere United
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Premier League
Vere United vs Montego Bay
1:4
Feb 4, 2024 Premier League
Montego Bay vs Vere United
2:0
Nov 12, 2023 Premier League
Vere United vs Montego Bay
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vere United Compare

Top Goalscorer Magee T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Montego Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Fletcher J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Weatherly J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vere United 10 / 100
Montego Bay 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vere United Montego Bay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montego Bay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Montego Bay registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Vere United scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Montego Bay
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant39296494:2193
2Arnett Gardens392210774:3976
3Montego Bay392112662:2875
4Cavalier391815665:4369
5Portmore391812946:2566
6Tivoli3915131161:4858
7Waterhouse3916101344:4258
8Racing United3913121443:5051
9Chapelton399102036:5937
10FC Dunbeholden391072234:6737
11Harbour View39992138:5836
12Molynes United39982240:7635
13Humble Lions397122034:6533
14Vere United39582632:8223