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Verl II vs TUS Bovinghausen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2024/2025 Sportclub Arena, Verl
Sun, Mar 23, 2025
2 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Verl II host TUS Bovinghausen in the Oberliga Westfalen 2024/2025. This has Verl II written all over it on paper. TUS Bovinghausen have shipped 4 goals a game lately, while Verl II have conceded 1.84 and scored 1.52. Past meetings favor Verl II slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 23, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 1.38, favoring Verl II. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Verl II
20%
Draws
0%
TUS Bovinghausen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Verl II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • TUS Bovinghausen haven't matched Verl II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Verl II's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Verl II Clean Sheet 17%
TUS Bovinghausen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verl II TUS Bovinghausen
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 11 2
Draws 6 1
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.52 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.84 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Oberliga Westfalen
Verl II vs TUS Bovinghausen
2:0
Sep 29, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
TUS Bovinghausen vs Verl II
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verl II 41 / 100
TUS Bovinghausen 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verl II TUS Bovinghausen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verl II scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

TUS Bovinghausen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 20 matches.

TUS Bovinghausen lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Verl II VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Verl II

(Home)
04 Oct
Erkenschwick
4 : 1
Verl II
30 Sept
Verl II
6 : 0
Gievenbeck
20 Sept
TUS Ennepetal
2 : 2
Verl II
13 Sept
Verl II
1 : 1
TuS Hordel
04 Sept
Lippstadt
5 : 2
Verl II
Page 1 of 7

TUS Bovinghausen

(Away)
23 Mar
Verl II
2 : 0
TUS Bovinghausen
16 Mar
TUS Bovinghausen
0 : 2
Schermbeck 2020
09 Mar
Concordia Wiemelhausen
5 : 3
TUS Bovinghausen
01 Mar
TUS Bovinghausen
1 : 9
ASC 09 Dortmund
23 Feb
TUS Bovinghausen
1 : 7
Vreden
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siegen 34 23 9 2 70:25 78
2 Bochum II 34 21 8 5 79:31 71
3 ASC 09 Dortmund 34 19 5 10 81:53 62
4 Westfalia Rhynern 34 16 4 14 58:46 52
5 Eintracht Rheine 34 15 5 14 56:46 50
6 Schermbeck 2020 34 14 8 12 62:59 50
7 Lippstadt 34 15 5 14 54:51 50
8 SG Wattenscheid 34 14 7 13 50:47 49
9 Preussen Munster 2 34 14 6 14 65:66 48
10 Gievenbeck 34 11 11 12 51:49 44
11 Vreden 34 12 7 15 52:56 43
12 Verl II 34 12 7 15 47:51 43
13 Ahlen 34 11 9 14 56:69 42
14 Finnentrop/Bamenohl 34 12 5 17 45:68 41
15 Clarholz 34 10 9 15 40:47 39
16 TUS Ennepetal 34 10 7 17 52:75 37
17 Erkenschwick 34 7 9 18 41:68 30
18 Concordia Wiemelhausen 34 7 5 22 49:101 26
19 TUS Bovinghausen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2025/2026 (Main)