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Vermont Green vs Asheville City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League Two Virtue Field, Burlington, VT
Vermont Green Logo

Vermont Green

4 - 0
FT
Asheville City Logo

Asheville City

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Vermont Green
15%
Draws
34%
Asheville City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vermont Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vermont Green come out ahead of Asheville City on wins alone.
  • Vermont Green are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Vermont Green have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vermont Green, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vermont Green Clean Sheet 19%
Asheville City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vermont Green Asheville City
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 27 18
Draws 2 7
Losses 1 4
Goals Scored 3.77 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 USL League Two
Vermont Green vs Asheville City
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vermont Green 85 / 100
Asheville City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vermont Green Asheville City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vermont Green Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vermont Green found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Vermont Green stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Asheville City conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vermont Green VS Asheville City
4.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vermont Green

(Home)
01 Aug
Flint City
1 : 2
Vermont Green
27 Jul
Laredo Heat
1 : 7
Vermont Green
24 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Asheville City
19 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ocean City
17 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ironbound SC
Page 1 of 6

Asheville City

(Away)
24 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Asheville City
19 Jul
Asheville City
4 : 2
Appalachian FC
17 Jul
Lionsbridge
2 : 3
Asheville City
14 Jul
Asheville City
1 : 0
Virginia Beach United
11 Jul
Hickory FC
0 : 0
Asheville City
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Flint City 2
Buffalo 0
Steel City 1
Northern Indiana 0
Peoria IL 3
Sueno 2
Minneapolis City 2
West Virginia 0
Ballard 2
Utah United 1
Colorado Storm 2
Snohomish United 1
San Francisco City 1
Tucson 0
Ventura 1
Project 51O 0
Fort Lauderdale United 4
Swarm FC 0
Dothan United 0
Brave SC 1
Laredo Heat 2
Texoma FC 0
Little Rock Rangers 1
GFI Woodlands 2
Vermont Green 4
Ironbound SC 0
Ocean City 2
Motown 2 0
Lionsbridge 2
Asheville City 3
Charlotte Independence 2 0
Appalachian FC 2
1/8-finals
Flint City 2
Steel City 1
Peoria IL 4
Minneapolis City 0
Ballard 4
Colorado Storm 3
San Francisco City 1
Ventura 6
Fort Lauderdale United 3
Brave SC 0
Laredo Heat 6
GFI Woodlands 1
Vermont Green 4
Ocean City 0
Asheville City 4
Appalachian FC 2
Quarter-finals
Flint City 4
Peoria IL 0
Ballard 1
Ventura 2
Fort Lauderdale United 1
Laredo Heat 2
Vermont Green 4
Asheville City 0
Semi-finals
Flint City 1
Ventura 0
Laredo Heat 1
Vermont Green 7
Final
Flint City 1
Vermont Green 2