Sport Picks

USA

USL League Two

Connecticut Rush

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vermont Green play Connecticut Rush in the USL League Two. Vermont Green are favorites here. Recently, Vermont Green averaged 3.18 goals scored and 0.68 conceded. Connecticut Rush averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, Vermont Green won 1, Connecticut Rush won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 7, 2026 ended 6:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.94 for Vermont Green and 1.06 for Connecticut Rush. This points to a Vermont Green double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

Vermont Green

15%

Draws

20%

Connecticut Rush

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vermont Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Vermont Green picked up more points recently compared to Connecticut Rush.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.94 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Vermont Green Clean Sheet 22%

Connecticut Rush Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vermont Green	Connecticut Rush
Matches Played	34	14
Wins	29	4
Draws	4	2
Losses	1	8
Goals Scored	3.18	1.36
Goals Conceded	0.68	1.86
Expected Goals (xG)	4.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 USL League Two

Vermont Green vs Connecticut Rush

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 0 - 4

6:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vermont Green 63 / 100

Connecticut Rush 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vermont Green Connecticut Rush

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vermont Green Win (1)

Secondary Pick Vermont Green & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.7%

1.75

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vermont Green attacking → ← attacking Connecticut Rush

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vermont Green scored in 94% of their last 34 games.

Connecticut Rush let in goals in 100% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Vermont Green went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Connecticut Rush lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

91 Points in last 5 14

4.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50