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Vermont Green vs Ironbound SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League Two Virtue Field, Burlington, VT
Vermont Green Logo

Vermont Green

4 - 0
FT
Ironbound SC Logo

Ironbound SC

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Francou J.
22' Event
Miller C.
31' Event
Rosas D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Vermont Green
20%
Draws
28%
Ironbound SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vermont Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Vermont Green have won more games recently than Ironbound SC.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Vermont Green taking it.
  • Vermont Green have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vermont Green, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Vermont Green Clean Sheet 68%
Ironbound SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vermont Green Ironbound SC
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 35 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 3.4 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 USL League Two
Vermont Green vs Ironbound SC
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vermont Green Compare

Top Goalscorer Francou J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miller C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Ironbound SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vermont Green 95 / 100
Ironbound SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vermont Green Ironbound SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vermont Green Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vermont Green found the back of the net in 95% of recent matches (40 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vermont Green stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ironbound SC has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vermont Green VS Ironbound SC
4.63 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vermont Green

(Home)
01 Aug
Flint City
1 : 2
Vermont Green
27 Jul
Laredo Heat
1 : 7
Vermont Green
24 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Asheville City
19 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ocean City
17 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ironbound SC
Page 1 of 8

Ironbound SC

(Away)
17 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ironbound SC
15 Jul
NEFC
0 : 3
Ironbound SC
11 Jul
Ironbound SC
1 : 1
Manhattan
08 Jul
Cedar Stars Rush
2 : 2
Ironbound SC
05 Jul
Ironbound SC
3 : 0
Staten Island ASC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Flint City 2
Buffalo 0
Steel City 1
Northern Indiana 0
Peoria IL 3
Sueno 2
Minneapolis City 2
West Virginia 0
Ballard 2
Utah United 1
Colorado Storm 2
Snohomish United 1
San Francisco City 1
Tucson 0
Ventura 1
Project 51O 0
Fort Lauderdale United 4
Swarm FC 0
Dothan United 0
Brave SC 1
Laredo Heat 2
Texoma FC 0
Little Rock Rangers 1
GFI Woodlands 2
Vermont Green 4
Ironbound SC 0
Ocean City 2
Motown 2 0
Lionsbridge 2
Asheville City 3
Charlotte Independence 2 0
Appalachian FC 2
1/8-finals
Flint City 2
Steel City 1
Peoria IL 4
Minneapolis City 0
Ballard 4
Colorado Storm 3
San Francisco City 1
Ventura 6
Fort Lauderdale United 3
Brave SC 0
Laredo Heat 6
GFI Woodlands 1
Vermont Green 4
Ocean City 0
Asheville City 4
Appalachian FC 2
Quarter-finals
Flint City 4
Peoria IL 0
Ballard 1
Ventura 2
Fort Lauderdale United 1
Laredo Heat 2
Vermont Green 4
Asheville City 0
Semi-finals
Flint City 1
Ventura 0
Laredo Heat 1
Vermont Green 7
Final
Flint City 1
Vermont Green 2