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Vermont Green vs Ironbound SC

USA USA

USL League Two Virtue Field, Burlington, VT
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Francou J.
22' Event
Miller C.
31' Event
Rosas D.

AI Match Summary

Vermont Green in this USL League Two tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Vermont Green
6%
Draws
4%
Ironbound SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Vermont Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vermont Green have won more games recently than Ironbound SC.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Vermont Green taking it.
  • Vermont Green have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vermont Green, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Vermont Green Clean Sheet 68%
Ironbound SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vermont Green Ironbound SC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 25 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 4.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 4.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 USL League Two
Vermont Green vs Ironbound SC
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vermont Green Compare

Top Goalscorer Francou J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miller C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.65
Avg xA / game 2.38

Ironbound SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vermont Green 95 / 100
Ironbound SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vermont Green Ironbound SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vermont Green found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vermont Green stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ironbound SC has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vermont Green VS Ironbound SC
4.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vermont Green

(Home)
19 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ocean City
17 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ironbound SC
10 Jul
Western Pioneers
2 : 4
Vermont Green
07 Jul
Vermont Green
6 : 2
Connecticut Rush
01 Jul
NEFC
0 : 4
Vermont Green
Page 1 of 6

Ironbound SC

(Away)
17 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ironbound SC
15 Jul
NEFC
0 : 3
Ironbound SC
11 Jul
Ironbound SC
1 : 1
Manhattan
08 Jul
Cedar Stars Rush
2 : 2
Ironbound SC
05 Jul
Ironbound SC
3 : 0
Staten Island ASC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Flint City2
Buffalo0
Steel City1
Northern Indiana0
Peoria IL3
Sueno2
Minneapolis City2
West Virginia0
Ballard2
Utah United1
Colorado Storm2
Snohomish United1
San Francisco City1
Tucson0
Ventura1
Project 51O0
Fort Lauderdale United4
Swarm FC0
Dothan United0
Brave SC1
Laredo Heat2
Texoma FC0
Little Rock Rangers1
GFI Woodlands2
Vermont Green4
Ironbound SC0
Ocean City2
Motown 20
Lionsbridge2
Asheville City3
Charlotte Independence 20
Appalachian FC2
1/8-finals
Flint City2
Steel City1
Peoria IL4
Minneapolis City0
Ballard4
Colorado Storm3
San Francisco City1
Ventura6
Fort Lauderdale United3
Brave SC0
Laredo Heat6
GFI Woodlands1
Vermont Green4
Ocean City0
Asheville City4
Appalachian FC2
Quarter-finals
Flint City4
Peoria IL0
Ballard1
Ventura2
Fort Lauderdale United1
Laredo Heat2
Vermont Green4
Asheville City0
Semi-finals
Flint City1
Ventura0
Laredo Heat-
Vermont Green-
Final
TBD-
TBD-