Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vermont Green vs Lionsbridge

USA USA

USL League Two 2025 Virtue Field, Burlington, VT
Vermont Green Logo

Vermont Green

Fri, Jul 25, 2025
3 - 1
11:00 PM
Lionsbridge Logo

Lionsbridge

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Howard E.
44' Event
Abbey I.
104' Event
Tattevin A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vermont Green in this USL League Two 2025 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Vermont Green
15%
Draws
32%
Lionsbridge
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vermont Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vermont Green lately — more wins on the board than Lionsbridge.
  • Vermont Green are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Vermont Green have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vermont Green, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Vermont Green Clean Sheet 10%
Lionsbridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vermont Green Lionsbridge
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 27 26
Draws 2 4
Losses 1 6
Goals Scored 3.77 3.39
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2025 USL League Two
Vermont Green vs Lionsbridge
3:1
Jul 22, 2022 USL League Two
Lionsbridge vs Vermont Green
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vermont Green Compare

Top Goalscorer Abbey I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tattevin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Lionsbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Howard E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vermont Green 83 / 100
Lionsbridge 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vermont Green Lionsbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vermont Green Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vermont Green found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Vermont Green has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Lionsbridge conceded in 58% of 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vermont Green VS Lionsbridge
4.63 Goals Scored 3.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vermont Green

(Home)
01 Aug
Flint City
1 : 2
Vermont Green
27 Jul
Laredo Heat
1 : 7
Vermont Green
24 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Asheville City
19 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ocean City
17 Jul
Vermont Green
4 : 0
Ironbound SC
Page 1 of 6

Lionsbridge

(Away)
17 Jul
Lionsbridge
2 : 3
Asheville City
11 Jul
Lionsbridge
1 : 2
Charlottesville Blues
08 Jul
Northern Virginia
2 : 4
Lionsbridge
04 Jul
Lionsbridge
4 : 0
Hill City
25 Jun
Charlottesville Blues
0 : 3
Lionsbridge
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Vermont Green 4
Hudson Valley 1
Motown 2 2
Western Pioneers 1
Lionsbridge 4
Salem City 0
Northern Virginia 2
West Chester United 0
Dothan United 1
Little Rock Rangers 0
Asheville City 2
Louisiana Krewe 3
Sarasota Paradise 2
Sporting Jax 0
Laredo Heat 1
Fort Lauderdale United 2
Ballard 6
Colorado Storm 0
Utah United 0
Snohomish United 2
Ventura 2
San Juan 1
Almaden 1
Tucson 2
Flint City 4
Steel City 3
Fort Wayne 3
Midwest United 2
Minneapolis City 3
Peoria IL 2
Menace 2
Sueno 4
1/8-finals
Vermont Green 3
Motown 2 2
Lionsbridge 2
Northern Virginia 1
Dothan United 2
Louisiana Krewe 0
Sarasota Paradise 1
Fort Lauderdale United 2
Ballard 2
Snohomish United 1
Ventura 2
Tucson 0
Flint City 2
Fort Wayne 0
Minneapolis City 2
Sueno 0
Quarter-finals
Vermont Green 3
Lionsbridge 1
Dothan United 2
Fort Lauderdale United 1
Ballard 2
Ventura 1
Flint City 2
Minneapolis City 1
Semi-finals
Vermont Green 1
Dothan United 0
Ballard 2
Flint City 1
Final
Vermont Green 2
Ballard 1