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Vermont Green vs Seacoast United Phantoms

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vermont Green play Seacoast United Phantoms in the USL League Two. Vermont Green are favorites here. Recently, Vermont Green averaged 3.38 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Seacoast United Phantoms averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Vermont Green won 3, Seacoast United Phantoms won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 16, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.19 for Vermont Green and 1.63 for Seacoast United Phantoms. This points to a Vermont Green double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Vermont Green
15%
Draws
26%
Seacoast United Phantoms
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vermont Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vermont Green picked up more points recently compared to Seacoast United Phantoms.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.19 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Vermont Green Clean Sheet 14%
Seacoast United Phantoms Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vermont Green Seacoast United Phantoms
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 28 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 1 15
Goals Scored 3.38 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 4.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 USL League Two
Vermont Green vs Seacoast United Phantoms
2:2
May 16, 2026 USL League Two
Seacoast United Phantoms vs Vermont Green
0:2
Jul 2, 2025 USL League Two
Seacoast United Phantoms vs Vermont Green
2:3
May 31, 2025 USL League Two
Vermont Green vs Seacoast United Phantoms
4:0
Jul 21, 2024 USL League Two
Seacoast United Phantoms vs Vermont Green
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vermont Green 56 / 100
Seacoast United Phantoms 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vermont Green Seacoast United Phantoms

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vermont Green Win (1)
Secondary Pick Vermont Green & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vermont Green attacking → ← attacking Seacoast United Phantoms

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vermont Green scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

Seacoast United Phantoms let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Vermont Green went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Seacoast United Phantoms lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

87 Points in last 5 37
4.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00