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Vermont Green vs Westchester SC

USA USA

US Open Cup Virtue Field
Wed, Apr 1, 2026
0 - 1
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vermont Green play Westchester SC in the US Open Cup. Vermont Green are favorites here. Recently, Vermont Green averaged 3.38 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. Westchester SC averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Vermont Green won 0, Westchester SC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 1, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.88 for Vermont Green and 1.13 for Westchester SC. This points to a Vermont Green double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Vermont Green
15%
Draws
26%
Westchester SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vermont Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Vermont Green picked up more points recently compared to Westchester SC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.88 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Vermont Green Clean Sheet 21%
Westchester SC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vermont Green Westchester SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 25 9
Draws 3 3
Losses 1 17
Goals Scored 3.38 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 4.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 US Open Cup
Vermont Green vs Westchester SC
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vermont Green 57 / 100
Westchester SC 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vermont Green Westchester SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vermont Green Win (1)
Secondary Pick Vermont Green & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vermont Green attacking → ← attacking Westchester SC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vermont Green scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Westchester SC let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Vermont Green went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Westchester SC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

78 Points in last 5 30
4.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38