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Versailles vs Le Puy-en-Velay - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Municipal Georges Lefèvre, Saint-Germain-en-Laye
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Match Events

40' Event
Guillaume S.
Assist: Etien A.
45'
Leborgne J.
46'
Sub
Dembele M. In: Cisse I.
Out: Dembele M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 3 game between Versailles and Le Puy-en-Velay finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Versailles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Versailles
20%
Draws
33%
Le Puy-en-Velay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Versailles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Versailles come out ahead of Le Puy-en-Velay on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Versailles Clean Sheet 68%
Le Puy-en-Velay Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Versailles Le Puy-en-Velay
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Ligue 3
Versailles vs Le Puy-en-Velay
1:0
Apr 24, 2026 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Versailles
2:2
Dec 5, 2025 Ligue 3
Versailles vs Le Puy-en-Velay
0:3
Jan 27, 2023 Ligue 3
Versailles vs Le Puy-en-Velay
1:1
Aug 19, 2022 Ligue 3
Le Puy-en-Velay vs Versailles
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Versailles Compare

Top Goalscorer Guillaume S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Le Puy-en-Velay Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Versailles 41 / 100
Le Puy-en-Velay 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Versailles Le Puy-en-Velay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Versailles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Versailles scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Le Puy-en-Velay let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Versailles remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Versailles VS Le Puy-en-Velay
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Versailles

(Home)
03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0
Valenciennes
26 Sept
Villefranche
1 : 2
Versailles
19 Sept
Versailles
0 : 0
Quevilly
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
05 Sept
Versailles
0 : 3
Cannes
Page 1 of 6

Le Puy-en-Velay

(Away)
03 Oct
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 0
Thionville
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1
Villefranche
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
05 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
1 : 1
Orleans
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)