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Versailles vs Valenciennes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Municipal Georges Lefèvre, Saint-Germain-en-Laye
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Match Events

20'
Barry A.
28'
Marcel V.
33'
Marechal T.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 3 game between Versailles and Valenciennes finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Versailles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Versailles
20%
Draws
23%
Valenciennes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Versailles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Versailles come out ahead of Valenciennes on wins alone.
  • Versailles are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Versailles Clean Sheet 19%
Valenciennes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Versailles Valenciennes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Ligue 3
Versailles vs Valenciennes
1:0
Apr 10, 2026 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Versailles
1:0
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 3
Versailles vs Valenciennes
1:1
Feb 28, 2025 Ligue 3
Valenciennes vs Versailles
0:0
Sep 26, 2024 Ligue 3
Versailles vs Valenciennes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Versailles Compare

Top Goalscorer Barry A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Valenciennes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Versailles 40 / 100
Valenciennes 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Versailles Valenciennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Versailles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Versailles scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Valenciennes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Versailles remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Valenciennes registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Versailles VS Valenciennes
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Versailles

(Home)
03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0
Valenciennes
26 Sept
Villefranche
1 : 2
Versailles
19 Sept
Versailles
0 : 0
Quevilly
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
05 Sept
Versailles
0 : 3
Cannes
Page 1 of 6

Valenciennes

(Away)
03 Oct
Versailles
1 : 0
Valenciennes
26 Sept
Valenciennes
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Valenciennes
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury 91
03 Sept
Rouen
1 : 1
Valenciennes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 9 6 3 0 15:8 21
2 Rouen 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Concarneau 9 4 4 1 12:8 16
4 Versailles 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
5 Amiens SC 9 4 3 2 12:3 15
6 Cannes 9 3 6 0 11:4 15
7 Caen 9 5 0 4 17:12 15
8 Le Puy-en-Velay 9 4 1 4 11:9 13
9 Thionville 9 3 3 3 14:14 12
10 Fleury 91 9 3 3 3 15:12 12
11 Paris 13 Atletico 9 3 3 3 7:9 12
12 Bastia 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
13 Quevilly 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
14 Orleans 9 2 3 4 7:11 9
15 Valenciennes 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
16 Aubagne FC 9 2 1 6 6:12 7
17 Bourg Peronnas 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
18 Villefranche 9 1 1 7 7:22 4
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)