Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vertou vs La Fleche

France France

Coupe de France 2004/2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Fleche in this Coupe de France 2004/2005 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Vertou
15%
Draws
28%
La Fleche
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vertou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Vertou have won more games recently than La Fleche.
  • Vertou are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Vertou have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor La Fleche, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vertou Clean Sheet 17%
La Fleche Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vertou La Fleche
Matches Played 18 8
Wins 7 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.22 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2004 Coupe de France
Vertou vs La Fleche
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vertou 39 / 100
La Fleche 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vertou La Fleche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vertou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Fleche has conceded goals in 88% of their last 8 outings.

Attacking prowess: Vertou scored in 67% of their last 18 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

La Fleche lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vertou VS La Fleche
1 Goals Scored 1.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Vertou

(Home)
01 Dec
Saint-Denis
1 : 0
Vertou
17 Nov
Etoile Maritime
0 : 3
Vertou
14 Aug
St Sebastien
3 : 2
Vertou
08 Dec
Vertou
1 : 3
Bergerac
18 Nov
Bellevue Nantes
0 : 2
Vertou
Page 1 of 4

La Fleche

(Away)
16 Nov
La Fleche
2 : 3
Linas-Montlhery
20 Nov
La Fleche
1 : 2
Limoges
21 Nov
La Fleche
2 : 3
Chartres
08 Jan
La Fleche
1 : 2
Libourne
10 Dec
La Fleche
2 : 0
Choisy Au Bac
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Auxerre -
TBD -
US Noeux Les Mines 0
Calais 3
Tarbes 1
Montlucon 0
Stade Briochin 1
Vannes 2
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
Istres -
US Langueux 2
Orleans 1
TBD -
PSG -
Nantes -
TBD -
Pau 0
FC Cournon d'Auvergne 1
Paris FC 1
JA Drancy 0
Amiens SC 0
Saumur Olympique 2
Blois Foot 41 1
Change 0
Pierrots Vauban 0
Epinal 3
Avranches 1
Servel Lannion 0
Saint Neuves Maisons 0
Boulogne 2
Sochaux -
TBD -
EP Manosque 1
Bastia 0
Rodez 1
La Rochelle 0
TBD -
Metz -
Angers 2
Limoges 0
TBD -
Marseille -
Troyes 1
Besancon RC 0
Bayonne 2
Albi 4
Nice -
TBD -
Dunkerque 0
Beauvais 1
Schiltigheim 1
Creteil 0
Saint-Omer 0
Reims 1
AC Ajaccio -
TBD -
Arras 0
Nancy 1
St Etienne -
TBD -
Andrezieux 1
Nimes 2
Monaco -
TBD -
EP Manosque 1
Seyssinet 2
La Fleche 2
Choisy Au Bac 0
Stade Montois 0
Libourne 2
Caen -
TBD -
Sud Nivernais Imphy Decize 0
Mulhouse 3
Brest 2
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
TBD -
Rennes -
Lyon -
TBD -
Les Lilas 1
Viry-Chatillon 2
Gambsheim 4
La Chapelle 0
TBD -
Toulouse -
Toulon 2
Cassis Carnoux 1
US Semnoz Vieugy 0
Montceau 1
Vesoul 7
FC Sainte - Marquerite 1
Domerat 0
Clermont 2
Grenoble 1
Lyon - La Duchere 0
TBD -
Chateauroux -
Rapid de Menton 3
Frontignan AC 0
Montpellier 0
FC Rhone Vallees 1
Lens -
TBD -
Avion 0
Dizier 1
Le Mans 1
Bois-Guillaume 0
TBD -
Lille -
Quevilly 2
Le Havre 1
La Roche Vendee 0
Guingamp 4
Haguenau 1
Gueugnon 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 1
Romorantin 2
Montagnarde 2
Saint-Malo 1
Vitre 0
Pontivy 1
Strasbourg -
TBD -
SC Feignies (inactive) 2
Sedan 3
1/32-finals
Auxerre 1
Calais 0
Tarbes 0
Vannes 3
Bordeaux 2
Istres 0
US Langueux 1
PSG 6
Nantes 3
FC Cournon d'Auvergne 0
Paris FC 2
Saumur Olympique 3
Blois Foot 41 1
Epinal 0
Avranches 0
Boulogne 1
Sochaux 1
Bastia 0
Rodez 1
Metz 2
Angers 3
Marseille 2
Troyes 1
Albi 3
Nice 4
Beauvais 0
Schiltigheim 0
Reims 2
AC Ajaccio 2
Nancy 1
St Etienne 2
Nimes 3
Monaco 7
Seyssinet 0
La Fleche 1
Libourne 2
Caen 2
Mulhouse 0
Brest 0
Rennes 1
Lyon 2
Viry-Chatillon 0
Gambsheim 0
Toulouse 3
Toulon 3
Montceau 0
Vesoul 1
Clermont 2
Grenoble 3
Chateauroux 2
Rapid de Menton 0
FC Rhone Vallees 1
Lens 4
Dizier 0
Le Mans 1
Lille 2
Quevilly 1
Guingamp 0
Haguenau 1
Romorantin 2
Montagnarde 2
Pontivy 0
Strasbourg 1
Sedan 3
1/16-finals
Auxerre 2
Vannes 0
Bordeaux 1
PSG 3
Nantes 2
Saumur Olympique 0
Blois Foot 41 0
Boulogne 4
Sochaux 1
Metz 0
Angers 0
Albi 2
Nice 3
Reims 1
AC Ajaccio 1
Nimes 2
Monaco 4
Libourne 2
Caen 0
Rennes 2
Lyon 2
Toulouse 1
Toulon 0
Clermont 1
Grenoble 2
FC Rhone Vallees 1
Lens 2
Lille 3
Quevilly 1
Romorantin 0
Montagnarde 0
Sedan 4
1/8-finals
Auxerre 3
PSG 2
Nantes 2
Boulogne 3
Sochaux 3
Albi 0
Nice 0
Nimes 4
Monaco 1
Rennes 0
Lyon 1
Clermont 2
Grenoble 3
Lille 1
Quevilly 0
Sedan 2
Quarter-finals
Auxerre 2
Boulogne 1
Sochaux 3
Nimes 4
Monaco 1
Clermont 0
Grenoble 1
Sedan 2
Semi-finals
Auxerre 2
Nimes 1
Monaco 0
Sedan 1
Final
Auxerre 2
Sedan 1