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Verzej vs Grad

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2018/2019
Verzej Logo

Verzej

1 - 2
FT
Grad Logo

Grad

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Grad in this 3. SNL - East 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Verzej
30%
Draws
47%
Grad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grad lately — more wins on the board than Verzej.
  • Model gives Grad a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Verzej Clean Sheet 10%
Grad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Verzej Grad
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 8 6
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Verzej
3:1
Oct 27, 2018 3. SNL - East
Verzej vs Grad
1:2
Aug 26, 2018 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Verzej
2:2
Apr 14, 2013 3. SNL - East
Grad vs Verzej
1:4
Sep 15, 2012 3. SNL - East
Verzej vs Grad
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Verzej 10 / 100
Grad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Verzej Grad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Verzej's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Defensive concern: Grad conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Grad's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Verzej VS Grad
1.13 Goals Scored 1
3.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 80%
100% Over 2.5 60%
75% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Verzej

(Home)
18 Oct
NK Gancani
5 : 2
Verzej
19 Oct
Cven
2 : 0
Verzej
02 Nov
Radgona
0 : 0
Verzej
26 Oct
Verzej
3 : 3
Bistrica
19 Oct
Verzej
0 : 4
Sampion Celje
Page 1 of 8

Grad

(Away)
18 Oct
NK Carda Martjanci
1 : 0
Grad
14 Aug
Grad
1 : 4
Krsko Posavje
05 Jun
Koper
4 : 0
Grad
01 Jun
Odranci
1 : 1
Grad
26 May
Grad
3 : 0
Radgona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grad 27 18 6 3 63:25 60
2 Odranci 27 17 8 2 62:26 59
3 NK Polana 27 16 4 7 57:39 52
4 Ljutomer 27 13 8 6 59:42 47
5 Verzej 27 11 8 8 47:41 41
6 Crensovci 27 10 2 15 39:65 32
7 Turnisce 27 7 6 14 36:59 27
8 Tromejnik 27 7 3 17 39:59 24
9 Hotiza 27 4 8 15 29:51 20
10 Radgona 27 3 5 19 28:52 14
Promotion - 3. SNL - Promotion Play Offs (Promotion - Play Offs)