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Vestfossen vs Lommedalen

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2014 game between Vestfossen and Lommedalen finished 8-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vestfossen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Vestfossen
15%
Draws
57%
Lommedalen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lommedalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Vestfossen haven't matched Lommedalen's recent run of results.
  • Lommedalen are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lommedalen have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Vestfossen Clean Sheet 15%
Lommedalen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vestfossen Lommedalen
Matches Played 43 37
Wins 15 16
Draws 3 9
Losses 25 12
Goals Scored 1.98 2.3
Goals Conceded 2.58 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Lommedalen vs Vestfossen
6:1
May 22, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Vestfossen vs Lommedalen
1:4
Sep 20, 2014 Division 3 - Group 4
Vestfossen vs Lommedalen
8:2
Jun 2, 2014 Division 3 - Group 4
Lommedalen vs Vestfossen
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vestfossen 11 / 100
Lommedalen 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vestfossen Lommedalen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lommedalen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vestfossen's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Lommedalen has conceded goals in 78% of their last 37 outings.

Lommedalen's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vestfossen VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vestfossen

(Home)
13 Aug
Vestfossen
1 : 5
Mjondalen
25 Jul
Vestfossen
1 : 3
Moss
26 Oct
Vestfossen
9 : 0
Valdres
19 Oct
Brann 2
5 : 1
Vestfossen
12 Oct
Vestfossen
2 : 4
Sogndal 2
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Lommedalen

(Away)
18 Apr
Lommedalen
0 : 2
Skeid
22 Oct
Lyn
3 : 1
Lommedalen
15 Oct
Lommedalen
1 : 2
Manglerud Star
08 Oct
Lommedalen
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Oslo
03 Oct
Strommen 2
0 : 4
Lommedalen
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