Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vestri vs Fylkir

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Kerecis Stadium - artificial grass, Ísafjörður
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Tyrfingsson G.
Assist: Eythorsson B.
11' Event
Hilmarsson M.
Assist: Wohler E.
16' Event
Hilmarsson M.
Assist: Arnarsson B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Vestri and Fylkir finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fylkir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Vestri
15%
Draws
51%
Fylkir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fylkir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fylkir come out ahead of Vestri on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fylkir a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fylkir here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Vestri Clean Sheet 10%
Fylkir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vestri Fylkir
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 19
Draws 5 1
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.17 2.59
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Division 1
Vestri vs Fylkir
2:5
May 4, 2026 Division 1
Fylkir vs Vestri
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 Besta deild karla
Vestri vs Fylkir
1:3
Sep 1, 2024 Besta deild karla
Vestri vs Fylkir
0:0
Jun 18, 2024 Besta deild karla
Fylkir vs Vestri
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vestri Compare

Top Goalscorer Hafthorsson T. G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Fylkir Compare

Top Goalscorer Hilmarsson M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tyrfingsson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vestri 10 / 100
Fylkir 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vestri Fylkir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fylkir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Vestri found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Fylkir has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Vestri stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vestri VS Fylkir
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vestri

(Home)
05 Sept
Vestri
0 : 2
Throttur
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Volsungur
2 : 0
Vestri
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
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Fylkir

(Away)
09 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 3
Fylkir
05 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 1
Fylkir
28 Aug
Fylkir
3 : 1
Grotta
22 Aug
Fylkir
6 : 1
Grindavik
17 Aug
Throttur
3 : 1
Fylkir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)