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Vestri vs Kordrengir

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 2023
Sat, Jul 1, 2023
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vestri play Kordrengir in the Division 1 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Vestri averaged 1.39 goals scored and 2.39 conceded. Kordrengir averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Vestri won 0, Kordrengir won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Sep 2, 2023 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Vestri and 1.75 for Kordrengir. This points to a Kordrengir double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Vestri
31%
Draws
44%
Kordrengir
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Kordrengir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Vestri picked up more points recently compared to Kordrengir.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Vestri Clean Sheet 12%
Kordrengir Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vestri Kordrengir
Matches Played 28 5
Wins 8 3
Draws 6 0
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 1.39 2
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2023 Division 1
Kordrengir vs Vestri
0:0
Jul 1, 2023 Division 1
Vestri vs Kordrengir
0:0
Aug 18, 2022 Division 1
Kordrengir vs Vestri
4:0
Jun 11, 2022 Division 1
Vestri vs Kordrengir
2:2
Mar 5, 2022 League Cup
Kordrengir vs Vestri
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vestri 25 / 100
Kordrengir 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vestri Kordrengir

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kordrengir or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vestri attacking → ← attacking Kordrengir

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vestri scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Kordrengir let in goals in 60% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Vestri went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kordrengir lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 9
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Akranes22154354:3149
2Afturelding22134560:3343
3Fjolnir22126455:3242
4Vestri22116537:2639
5Leiknir Reykjavik22112947:3735
6Grindavik22841027:3828
7Thor Akureyri22831127:3927
8Throttur22751045:4626
9Grotta2268834:3726
10Njardvik22651136:4723
11Selfoss22721337:4923
12Aegir22231723:679