Sport Picks

Europe

Europa League Kerecis Stadium - artificial grass

Vestri

0 - 3

Qarabag Agdam

Our Tip

Match Events

Mouaddib J.

Assist: Sawo Z.

29'

Pedro Bicalho

Assist: Sawo Z.

56'

Sawo Z.

Assist: Kady Borges

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Europa League game between Vestri and Qarabag Agdam finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qarabag Agdam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Vestri

Draws

90%

Qarabag Agdam

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Qarabag Agdam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Qarabag Agdam come out ahead of Vestri on wins alone.
Qarabag Agdam are the model's pick here, at 90%.
European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Vestri Clean Sheet 11%

Qarabag Agdam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vestri	Qarabag Agdam
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	8	14
Draws	6	4
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	1.88	2
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Europa League

Vestri vs Qarabag Agdam

Possession: 40% - 54% Cards: 3 - 4

0:3

Jul 9, 2026 Europa League

Qarabag Agdam vs Vestri

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vestri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Qarabag Agdam Compare

Top Goalscorer Mouaddib J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pedro Bicalho

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vestri 10 / 100

Qarabag Agdam 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vestri Qarabag Agdam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vestri found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Qarabag Agdam conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Vestri has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vestri VS Qarabag Agdam

1.88 Goals Scored 2

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals

Hammarby-

TBD-

Anderlecht-

Qarabag Agdam6

Vestri0

CSKA Sofia5

Derry City3

Tromso-

TBD-

Hradec Kralove-

Twente-

TBD-

Vojvodina1

Ferencvaros5

Besiktas-

TBD-

Midtjylland-

Hajduk Split3

Zilina2

TBD-

Pafos-

Sheriff Tiraspol1

Aluminij0

TBD-

Maccabi Tel Aviv-

St. Gallen-

TBD-

Benfica-

Dynamo Kyiv1

Universitatea Cluj0

TBD-

PAOK-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Hammarby-

Anderlecht-

Qarabag Agdam-

CSKA Sofia-

Tromso-

Hradec Kralove-

Twente-

Ferencvaros-

Besiktas-

Midtjylland-

Hajduk Split-

Pafos-

Sheriff Tiraspol-

Maccabi Tel Aviv-

St. Gallen-

Benfica-

Dynamo Kyiv-

PAOK-

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-