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Vevey vs Bavois

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Bega I.
27' Event
Bega I.
38' Event
Figueiredo G.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League 2025/2026 game between Vevey and Bavois finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bavois.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vevey
6%
Draws
90%
Bavois
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bavois

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bavois come out ahead of Vevey on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Bavois taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Bavois here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 67%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Vevey Clean Sheet 10%
Bavois Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vevey Bavois
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 1 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 25 12
Goals Scored 0.86 2
Goals Conceded 4.71 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.71 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Promotion League
Vevey vs Bavois
0:4
Aug 9, 2025 Promotion League
Bavois vs Vevey
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 Promotion League
Bavois vs Vevey
2:0
Jan 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Vevey vs Bavois
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Promotion League
Vevey vs Bavois
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vevey Compare

Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

Bavois Compare

Top Goalscorer Bega I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Figueiredo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vevey 10 / 100
Bavois 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vevey Bavois

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Vevey scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Bavois conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Bavois has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vevey VS Bavois
0.86 Goals Scored 2
4.71 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 88%
71% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vevey

(Home)
30 May
Vevey
0 : 2
Paradiso
23 May
Basel II
3 : 0
Vevey
16 May
Vevey
2 : 3
Bulle
09 May
Zurich II
8 : 1
Vevey
02 May
Vevey
2 : 3
Luzern II
Page 1 of 6

Bavois

(Away)
18 Jul
Bavois
1 : 0
Meyrin
15 Jul
Bavois
2 : 1
Chenois
11 Jul
Bavois
3 : 2
Portalban
30 May
Kriens
2 : 1
Bavois
23 May
Bavois
3 : 2
Cham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kriens342545100:4379
2Bruhl SG34226687:4672
3Biel34197878:4664
4Basel II34178965:4859
5Bavois341741364:5355
6Young Boys II341591066:5254
7Schaffhausen341651351:4653
8Bulle341561370:6451
9Cham341481262:6150
10Grand-Saconnex3411101371:6943
11Zurich II341181559:6241
12Breitenrain341181547:5141
13Luzern II3410101480:8340
14FC Kreuzlingen348131343:6637
15Lugano II348121445:7536
16Paradiso348111551:6535
17Lausanne II34942160:8431
18Vevey34152828:1132
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)