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Vevey vs Bavois

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Bega I.
27' Event
Bega I.
38' Event
Figueiredo G.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League 2025/2026 game between Vevey and Bavois finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bavois.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vevey
15%
Draws
85%
Bavois
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bavois

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bavois come out ahead of Vevey on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Bavois taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bavois here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Vevey Clean Sheet 10%
Bavois Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vevey Bavois
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 1 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 1 1.72
Goals Conceded 3.54 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Promotion League
Vevey vs Bavois
0:4
Aug 9, 2025 Promotion League
Bavois vs Vevey
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 Promotion League
Bavois vs Vevey
2:0
Jan 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Vevey vs Bavois
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Promotion League
Vevey vs Bavois
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vevey Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bavois Compare

Top Goalscorer Bega I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Figueiredo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vevey 18 / 100
Bavois 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vevey Bavois

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bavois Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Vevey scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Bavois conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Away concern: Bavois has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vevey VS Bavois
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vevey

(Home)
11 Sept
Portalban
4 : 1
Vevey
05 Sept
Vevey
1 : 2
Sion II
29 Aug
Lancy
2 : 1
Vevey
22 Aug
Vevey
2 : 3
Prishtina Bern
16 Aug
USI Azzurri
4 : 2
Vevey
Page 1 of 6

Bavois

(Away)
12 Sept
Young Boys II
2 : 1
Bavois
05 Sept
Bavois
3 : 0
Bulle
29 Aug
Lugano II
3 : 2
Bavois
22 Aug
Bavois
0 : 0
Bruhl SG
19 Aug
Young Fellows Juventus
1 : 0
Bavois
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kriens 34 25 4 5 100:43 79
2 Bruhl SG 34 22 6 6 87:46 72
3 Biel 34 19 7 8 78:46 64
4 Basel II 34 17 8 9 65:48 59
5 Bavois 34 17 4 13 64:53 55
6 Young Boys II 34 15 9 10 66:52 54
7 Schaffhausen 34 16 5 13 51:46 53
8 Bulle 34 15 6 13 70:64 51
9 Cham 34 14 8 12 62:61 50
10 Grand-Saconnex 34 11 10 13 71:69 43
11 Zurich II 34 11 8 15 59:62 41
12 Breitenrain 34 11 8 15 47:51 41
13 Luzern II 34 10 10 14 80:83 40
14 FC Kreuzlingen 34 8 13 13 43:66 37
15 Lugano II 34 8 12 14 45:75 36
16 Paradiso 34 8 11 15 51:65 35
17 Lausanne II 34 9 4 21 60:84 31
18 Vevey 34 1 5 28 28:113 2
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)