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Vevey vs Lugano II

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Peverelli Y.
18' Event
Amirzade M.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Parente J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Lugano II in this Promotion League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lugano II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vevey
6%
Draws
90%
Lugano II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lugano II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lugano II have won more games recently than Vevey.
  • Lugano II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Vevey Clean Sheet 10%
Lugano II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vevey Lugano II
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 25 14
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 5.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Promotion League
Vevey vs Lugano II
1:3
Aug 23, 2025 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Vevey
0:0
May 10, 2025 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Vevey
2:3
Nov 2, 2024 Promotion League
Vevey vs Lugano II
2:2
Jun 3, 2023 1.Liga Classic Group 1
Lugano II vs Vevey
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vevey Compare

Top Goalscorer Philipona N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Lugano II Compare

Top Goalscorer Peverelli Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vevey 10 / 100
Lugano II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vevey Lugano II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugano II let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Vevey's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Lugano II's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vevey VS Lugano II
1 Goals Scored 0.88
5.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kriens342545100:4379
2Bruhl SG34226687:4672
3Biel34197878:4664
4Basel II34178965:4859
5Bavois341741364:5355
6Young Boys II341591066:5254
7Schaffhausen341651351:4653
8Bulle341561370:6451
9Cham341481262:6150
10Grand-Saconnex3411101371:6943
11Zurich II341181559:6241
12Breitenrain341181547:5141
13Luzern II3410101480:8340
14FC Kreuzlingen348131343:6637
15Lugano II348121445:7536
16Paradiso348111551:6535
17Lausanne II34942160:8431
18Vevey34152828:1132