Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vevey vs Luzern II

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Van den Heuvel L.
42' Event
Avdic A.
62' Event
Freimann B. H.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League 2025/2026 game between Vevey and Luzern II finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luzern II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Vevey
20%
Draws
64%
Luzern II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Luzern II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Luzern II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Luzern II's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Vevey Clean Sheet 10%
Luzern II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vevey Luzern II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 1 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 25 15
Goals Scored 1 2.07
Goals Conceded 3.55 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Promotion League
Vevey vs Luzern II
2:3
Oct 25, 2025 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Vevey
8:1
Mar 8, 2025 Promotion League
Vevey vs Luzern II
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Vevey
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vevey Compare

Top Goalscorer Avdic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Philipona N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Luzern II Compare

Top Goalscorer Van den Heuvel L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Freimann B. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vevey 22 / 100
Luzern II 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vevey Luzern II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzern II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzern II has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Vevey scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Luzern II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vevey VS Luzern II
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vevey

(Home)
26 Sept
Vevey
1 : 4
Servette U21
19 Sept
Vevey
1 : 1
Lausanne II
11 Sept
Portalban
4 : 1
Vevey
05 Sept
Vevey
1 : 2
Sion II
29 Aug
Lancy
2 : 1
Vevey
Page 1 of 6

Luzern II

(Away)
26 Sept
Luzern II
2 : 3
Amical Saint-Prex
20 Sept
Bavois
0 : 1
Luzern II
12 Sept
Luzern II
0 : 1
Biel
05 Sept
Breitenrain
1 : 0
Luzern II
30 Aug
Young Boys II
2 : 2
Luzern II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kriens 34 25 4 5 100:43 79
2 Bruhl SG 34 22 6 6 87:46 72
3 Biel 34 19 7 8 78:46 64
4 Basel II 34 17 8 9 65:48 59
5 Bavois 34 17 4 13 64:53 55
6 Young Boys II 34 15 9 10 66:52 54
7 Schaffhausen 34 16 5 13 51:46 53
8 Bulle 34 15 6 13 70:64 51
9 Cham 34 14 8 12 62:61 50
10 Grand-Saconnex 34 11 10 13 71:69 43
11 Zurich II 34 11 8 15 59:62 41
12 Breitenrain 34 11 8 15 47:51 41
13 Luzern II 34 10 10 14 80:83 40
14 FC Kreuzlingen 34 8 13 13 43:66 37
15 Lugano II 34 8 12 14 45:75 36
16 Paradiso 34 8 11 15 51:65 35
17 Lausanne II 34 9 4 21 60:84 31
18 Vevey 34 1 5 28 28:113 2
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)