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Vevey vs Luzern II

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Van den Heuvel L.
42' Event
Avdic A.
62' Event
Freimann B. H.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League 2025/2026 game between Vevey and Luzern II finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luzern II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Vevey
6%
Draws
90%
Luzern II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Luzern II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Luzern II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Luzern II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Vevey Clean Sheet 10%
Luzern II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vevey Luzern II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 4.88 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Promotion League
Vevey vs Luzern II
2:3
Oct 25, 2025 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Vevey
8:1
Mar 8, 2025 Promotion League
Vevey vs Luzern II
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Vevey
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vevey Compare

Top Goalscorer Avdic A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Philipona N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Luzern II Compare

Top Goalscorer Van den Heuvel L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Freimann B. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vevey 10 / 100
Luzern II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vevey Luzern II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzern II has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Vevey scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Luzern II has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vevey VS Luzern II
1 Goals Scored 2.13
4.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kriens342545100:4379
2Bruhl SG34226687:4672
3Biel34197878:4664
4Basel II34178965:4859
5Bavois341741364:5355
6Young Boys II341591066:5254
7Schaffhausen341651351:4653
8Bulle341561370:6451
9Cham341481262:6150
10Grand-Saconnex3411101371:6943
11Zurich II341181559:6241
12Breitenrain341181547:5141
13Luzern II3410101480:8340
14FC Kreuzlingen348131343:6637
15Lugano II348121445:7536
16Paradiso348111551:6535
17Lausanne II34942160:8431
18Vevey34152828:1132