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VfB Marburg vs Alzenau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen game between VfB Marburg and Alzenau finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VfB Marburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
VfB Marburg
15%
Draws
53%
Alzenau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alzenau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VfB Marburg come out ahead of Alzenau on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 20%
Alzenau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Marburg Alzenau
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Alzenau
2:1
Dec 7, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Alzenau
0:1
Jul 27, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Alzenau vs VfB Marburg
4:0
Mar 16, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Alzenau
0:3
Sep 2, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
Alzenau vs VfB Marburg
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Marburg 36 / 100
Alzenau 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Marburg Alzenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alzenau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfB Marburg scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Alzenau conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: VfB Marburg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VfB Marburg VS Alzenau
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

VfB Marburg

(Home)
03 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 0
CSC 03 Kassel
27 Sept
RW Walldorf
1 : 0
VfB Marburg
19 Sept
VfB Marburg
1 : 2
Hummetroth
13 Sept
Eddersheim
4 : 2
VfB Marburg
09 Sept
Stadtallendorf
0 : 2
VfB Marburg
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Alzenau

(Away)
03 Oct
Alzenau
3 : 0
Unter-Flockenbach
26 Sept
Darmstadt U21
2 : 3
Alzenau
19 Sept
Alzenau
0 : 0
Baunatal
12 Sept
Hadamar
3 : 0
Alzenau
09 Sept
Alzenau
2 : 0
Hanauer SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stadtallendorf 12 8 2 2 35:11 26
2 Unter-Flockenbach 12 8 1 3 34:23 25
3 Eddersheim 12 7 4 1 28:19 25
4 Turk Gucu Friedberg 12 6 3 3 25:19 21
5 VfB Marburg 12 6 2 4 17:14 20
6 Hadamar 12 6 2 4 20:19 20
7 Pohlheim 12 6 2 4 20:20 20
8 Hunfelder 12 6 1 5 21:19 19
9 Darmstadt U21 12 5 3 4 27:17 18
10 Fernwald 12 3 7 2 20:18 16
11 RW Walldorf 12 4 2 6 19:26 14
12 CSC 03 Kassel 12 4 2 6 12:23 14
13 Alzenau 12 3 4 5 14:18 13
14 Baunatal 12 3 3 6 14:21 12
15 Kassel 2 12 3 2 7 14:18 11
16 Hanauer SC 12 2 4 6 19:29 10
17 Hummetroth 12 2 3 7 17:26 9
18 Giessen 12 1 3 8 15:31 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)