Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VfB Marburg vs Alzenau

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen game between VfB Marburg and Alzenau finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VfB Marburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
VfB Marburg
30%
Draws
27%
Alzenau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VfB Marburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VfB Marburg come out ahead of Alzenau on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans VfB Marburg's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 13%
Alzenau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Marburg Alzenau
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.41 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.66 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Alzenau
2:1
Dec 7, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Alzenau
0:1
Jul 27, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Alzenau vs VfB Marburg
4:0
Mar 16, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Alzenau
0:3
Sep 2, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
Alzenau vs VfB Marburg
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Marburg 40 / 100
Alzenau 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Marburg Alzenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfB Marburg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

VfB Marburg found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Alzenau conceded in 76% of 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

VfB Marburg VS Alzenau
2 Goals Scored 2.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

VfB Marburg

(Home)
12 Aug
VfB Marburg
2 : 2
Stadtallendorf
07 Aug
Hunfelder
0 : 1
VfB Marburg
01 Aug
VfB Marburg
2 : 1
Alzenau
30 May
VfB Marburg
5 : 0
Weidenhausen
23 May
Waldgirmes
0 : 1
VfB Marburg
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Alzenau

(Away)
12 Aug
Hanauer SC
2 : 2
Alzenau
08 Aug
Alzenau
1 : 1
Fernwald
01 Aug
VfB Marburg
2 : 1
Alzenau
23 Jul
Alzenau
7 : 2
Worms
15 Jul
Zeilsheim
3 : 6
Alzenau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unter-Flockenbach 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Darmstadt U21 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
3 Turk Gucu Friedberg 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
4 VfB Marburg 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
5 Hunfelder 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Eddersheim 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
7 Fernwald 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
8 Hadamar 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
9 Hanauer SC 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
10 Pohlheim 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
11 Kassel 2 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
12 CSC 03 Kassel 3 1 0 2 4:12 3
13 Alzenau 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
14 Stadtallendorf 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
15 Giessen 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
16 Baunatal 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
17 Hummetroth 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
18 RW Walldorf 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)