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Stadium Background

VfB Marburg vs Bad Soden

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Pekesen M.
(Penalty)
31' Event
Enobore J.
34' Event
Noori H.

AI Match Summary

VfB Marburg in this Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored VfB Marburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
VfB Marburg
6%
Draws
4%
Bad Soden
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: VfB Marburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VfB Marburg lately — more wins on the board than Bad Soden.
  • VfB Marburg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 16%
Bad Soden Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Marburg Bad Soden
Matches Played 34 7
Wins 14 1
Draws 6 2
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Bad Soden
3:2
Jun 3, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Bad Soden vs VfB Marburg
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VfB Marburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Enobore J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pfalz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bad Soden Compare

Top Goalscorer Noori H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Marburg 84 / 100
Bad Soden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Marburg Bad Soden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VFB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bad Soden conceded in 100% of 7 recent games.

Solid form: VfB Marburg remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: VfB Marburg scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

VfB Marburg VS Bad Soden
1 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
VfB Marburg4
Bad Soden2
FV Biebrich 025
Dortelweil6
Final
VfB Marburg4
Dortelweil2