Sport Picks
VfB Marburg vs Baunatal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Oberliga Hessen 
AI Match Summary
The Oberliga Hessen game between VfB Marburg and Baunatal finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baunatal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- VfB Marburg haven't matched Baunatal's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 16%
Baunatal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VfB Marburg | Baunatal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 17, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Baunatal
2:2
Dec 6, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Baunatal
0:3
Nov 15, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Baunatal vs VfB Marburg
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Baunatal
0:5
Aug 17, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Baunatal vs VfB Marburg
5:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VfB Marburg 31 / 100
Baunatal 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VfB Marburg Baunatal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Baunatal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
VfB Marburg's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
VfB Marburg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
VfB Marburg VS Baunatal
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
VfB Marburg
(Home) 17 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 2 Baunatal
10 Oct
Hadamar
2 : 0 VfB Marburg
03 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 0 CSC 03 Kassel
27 Sept
RW Walldorf
1 : 0 VfB Marburg
19 Sept
VfB Marburg
1 : 2 Hummetroth
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 2 Baunatal
03 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 0 CSC 03 Kassel
19 Sept
VfB Marburg
1 : 2 Hummetroth
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2 Fernwald
15 Aug
VfB Marburg
1 : 1 Kassel 2
Page 1 of 3
Baunatal
(Away) 17 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 2 Baunatal
10 Oct
Baunatal
3 : 1 Hanauer SC
04 Oct
Kassel 2
2 : 0 Baunatal
26 Sept
Hunfelder
2 : 3 Baunatal
19 Sept
Alzenau
2 : 1 Baunatal
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17 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 2 Baunatal
04 Oct
Kassel 2
2 : 0 Baunatal
26 Sept
Hunfelder
2 : 3 Baunatal
19 Sept
Alzenau
2 : 1 Baunatal
06 Sept
Pohlheim
2 : 3 Baunatal
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stadtallendorf | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 41:11 | 32 |
| 2 | Unter-Flockenbach | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 37:25 | 29 |
| 3 | Eddersheim | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 31:24 | 25 |
| 4 | Hadamar | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:21 | 24 |
| 5 | Turk Gucu Friedberg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 6 | Pohlheim | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:21 | 23 |
| 7 | Darmstadt U21 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31:18 | 21 |
| 8 | VfB Marburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Hunfelder | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21:22 | 19 |
| 10 | CSC 03 Kassel | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15:25 | 18 |
| 11 | Fernwald | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Alzenau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | 18 |
| 13 | RW Walldorf | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 22:30 | 17 |
| 14 | Baunatal | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20:26 | 15 |
| 15 | Hanauer SC | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 21:32 | 13 |
| 16 | Hummetroth | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 21:29 | 12 |
| 17 | Kassel 2 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16:24 | 12 |
| 18 | Giessen | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17:37 | 9 |
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)
