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Stadium Background

VfB Marburg vs Hummetroth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen
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AI Match Summary

Hummetroth in this Oberliga Hessen matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hummetroth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
VfB Marburg
15%
Draws
46%
Hummetroth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hummetroth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Hummetroth haven't matched VfB Marburg's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Hummetroth taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hummetroth here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 17%
Hummetroth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Marburg Hummetroth
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.36 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Hummetroth
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs Hummetroth
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Hummetroth vs VfB Marburg
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Marburg 20 / 100
Hummetroth 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Marburg Hummetroth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hummetroth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hummetroth has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

VfB Marburg's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: VfB Marburg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VfB Marburg VS Hummetroth
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

VfB Marburg

(Home)
03 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 0
CSC 03 Kassel
27 Sept
RW Walldorf
1 : 0
VfB Marburg
19 Sept
VfB Marburg
1 : 2
Hummetroth
13 Sept
Eddersheim
4 : 2
VfB Marburg
09 Sept
Stadtallendorf
0 : 2
VfB Marburg
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Hummetroth

(Away)
04 Oct
Eddersheim
2 : 1
Hummetroth
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
VfB Marburg
1 : 2
Hummetroth
12 Sept
Hummetroth
6 : 1
Hanauer SC
09 Sept
Unter-Flockenbach
3 : 0
Hummetroth
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stadtallendorf 12 8 2 2 35:11 26
2 Unter-Flockenbach 12 8 1 3 34:23 25
3 Eddersheim 12 7 4 1 28:19 25
4 Turk Gucu Friedberg 12 6 3 3 25:19 21
5 VfB Marburg 12 6 2 4 17:14 20
6 Hadamar 12 6 2 4 20:19 20
7 Pohlheim 12 6 2 4 20:20 20
8 Hunfelder 12 6 1 5 21:19 19
9 Darmstadt U21 12 5 3 4 27:17 18
10 Fernwald 12 3 7 2 20:18 16
11 RW Walldorf 12 4 2 6 19:26 14
12 CSC 03 Kassel 12 4 2 6 12:23 14
13 Alzenau 12 3 4 5 14:18 13
14 Baunatal 12 3 3 6 14:21 12
15 Kassel 2 12 3 2 7 14:18 11
16 Hanauer SC 12 2 4 6 19:29 10
17 Hummetroth 12 2 3 7 17:26 9
18 Giessen 12 1 3 8 15:31 6
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)