Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VfB Oldenburg vs Weiche Flensburg 08

Germany Germany

Regionalliga North 2025/2026 Marschweg-Stadion, Oldenburg
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Facklam M.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Ali I.
73' Event
Faleu M.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga North 2025/2026 game between VfB Oldenburg and Weiche Flensburg 08 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Weiche Flensburg 08.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
VfB Oldenburg
15%
Draws
46%
Weiche Flensburg 08
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Weiche Flensburg 08

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • VfB Oldenburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
VfB Oldenburg Clean Sheet 12%
Weiche Flensburg 08 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Oldenburg Weiche Flensburg 08
Matches Played 25 24
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.84 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Regionalliga North
VfB Oldenburg vs Weiche Flensburg 08
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Regionalliga North
Weiche Flensburg 08 vs VfB Oldenburg
2:3
Apr 4, 2025 Regionalliga North
VfB Oldenburg vs Weiche Flensburg 08
5:1
Oct 3, 2024 Regionalliga North
Weiche Flensburg 08 vs VfB Oldenburg
2:0
Feb 18, 2024 Regionalliga North
VfB Oldenburg vs Weiche Flensburg 08
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VfB Oldenburg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Weiche Flensburg 08 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Faleu M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Oldenburg 29 / 100
Weiche Flensburg 08 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Oldenburg Weiche Flensburg 08

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfB Oldenburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfB Oldenburg's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: VfB Oldenburg stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Weiche Flensburg 08 conceded in 75% of 24 recent games.

Scoring Trends

VfB Oldenburg VS Weiche Flensburg 08
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

VfB Oldenburg

(Home)
29 Aug
VfB Oldenburg
7 : 3
Eimsbutteler
26 Aug
Todesfelde
1 : 4
VfB Oldenburg
15 Aug
VfB Oldenburg
4 : 1
Eintracht Norderstedt
11 Aug
Lubeck
1 : 1
VfB Oldenburg
07 Aug
VfB Oldenburg
3 : 1
Drochtersen / Assel
Page 1 of 5

Weiche Flensburg 08

(Away)
29 Aug
Weiche Flensburg 08
1 : 0
Delmenhorst
23 Aug
Eintracht Norderstedt
1 : 4
Weiche Flensburg 08
19 Aug
Werder Bremen II
1 : 2
Weiche Flensburg 08
15 Aug
Weiche Flensburg 08
5 : 2
Jeddeloh
08 Aug
Weiche Flensburg 08
5 : 2
Eimsbutteler
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Meppen 34 26 5 3 103:35 83
2 Drochtersen / Assel 34 22 4 8 83:48 70
3 VfB Oldenburg 34 21 6 7 87:45 69
4 Jeddeloh 34 19 7 8 81:50 64
5 Phonix Lubeck 34 16 8 10 53:43 56
6 Hannover II 34 16 5 13 63:49 53
7 Bremer 34 14 10 10 52:41 52
8 Emden 34 14 9 11 64:54 51
9 Weiche Flensburg 08 34 14 7 13 69:63 49
10 Hamburger II 34 13 8 13 57:50 47
11 Lubeck 34 12 9 13 54:61 45
12 Werder Bremen II 34 10 10 14 57:71 40
13 Hannoverscher SC 34 10 7 17 49:84 37
14 Schoningen 34 10 4 20 56:84 34
15 Eintracht Norderstedt 34 7 9 18 51:79 30
16 St. Pauli II 34 4 13 17 38:72 25
17 Lohne 34 5 8 21 38:78 23
18 Altona 34 6 5 23 44:92 23
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)