Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VfB Stuttgart II vs Aue

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Luers J.
38' Event
Sessa N.
40' Event
Arevalo J.
Assist: Olivier C.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga 2025/2026 game between VfB Stuttgart II and Aue finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
VfB Stuttgart II
15%
Draws
42%
Aue
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VfB Stuttgart II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Aue's 2.22 goals per match outpaces what VfB Stuttgart II have produced (1.71).
  • VfB Stuttgart II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
VfB Stuttgart II Clean Sheet 10%
Aue Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfB Stuttgart II Aue
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.71 2.22
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 3. Liga
VfB Stuttgart II vs Aue
2:2
Nov 23, 2025 3. Liga
Aue vs VfB Stuttgart II
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 3. Liga
Aue vs VfB Stuttgart II
2:1
Oct 27, 2024 3. Liga
VfB Stuttgart II vs Aue
0:1
Jan 30, 2016 3. Liga
Aue vs VfB Stuttgart II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VfB Stuttgart II Compare

Top Goalscorer Sessa N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arevalo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Aue Compare

Top Goalscorer Guttau J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfB Stuttgart II 83 / 100
Aue 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfB Stuttgart II Aue

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfB Stuttgart II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aue conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Attacking prowess: VfB Stuttgart II scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

VfB Stuttgart II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VfB Stuttgart II VS Aue
1.83 Goals Scored 3.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

VfB Stuttgart II

(Home)
16 Aug
VfB Stuttgart II
1 : 3
FC Viktoria Koln
08 Aug
TSV Havelse
2 : 3
VfB Stuttgart II
01 Aug
VfB Stuttgart II
0 : 1
Astoria Walldorf
25 Jul
Ulm
0 : 4
VfB Stuttgart II
18 Jul
FC Normannia Gmund
0 : 3
VfB Stuttgart II
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Aue

(Away)
22 Aug
Aue
0 : 4
Hoffenheim
15 Aug
Chemnitzer
3 : 1
Aue
09 Aug
Aue
2 : 1
BFC Preussen
06 Aug
Aue
3 : 2
BFC Dynamo
31 Jul
SV Tasmania Berlin
0 : 2
Aue
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfL Osnabruck 38 24 8 6 66:34 80
2 Energie Cottbus 38 21 9 8 72:51 72
3 RW Essen 38 20 10 8 78:66 70
4 Duisburg 38 19 11 8 66:49 68
5 Hansa Rostock 38 18 13 7 74:49 67
6 Verl 38 18 10 10 82:48 64
7 Alemannia Aachen 38 19 7 12 76:57 64
8 Munich 1860 38 15 11 12 54:53 56
9 Wehen 38 15 8 15 54:52 53
10 Mannheim 38 15 7 16 59:72 52
11 FC Viktoria Koln 38 15 6 17 51:53 51
12 Ingolstadt 38 13 10 15 65:56 49
13 Regensburg 38 14 7 17 54:58 49
14 VfB Stuttgart II 38 13 7 18 57:69 46
15 Saarbrucken 38 10 14 14 51:57 44
16 Hoffenheim II 38 12 7 19 65:71 43
17 TSV Havelse 38 9 8 21 57:89 35
18 Aue 38 7 13 18 51:70 34
19 Ulm 38 9 6 23 49:78 33
20 1. FC Schweinfurt 38 5 6 27 38:87 21
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)