Sport Picks
VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig
Germany
Bundesliga 2025/2026 MHPArena, Stuttgart 
Match Events
39'
39'
Romulo Cardoso
56'
56'
Undav D.
Assist: Fuhrich C.
64'
64'
Sub
Banzuzi E. In: Gruda B.
Out: Banzuzi E.
AI Match Summary
The Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between VfB Stuttgart and RB Leipzig finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VfB Stuttgart.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VfB Stuttgart
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- RB Leipzig carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on RB Leipzig taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
- History favors VfB Stuttgart here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 10%
RB Leipzig Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.45 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart
3:1
May 17, 2025 Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart
2:3
Apr 2, 2025 DFB Pokal
VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig
3:1
Jan 15, 2025 Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
VfB Stuttgart Compare
Top Goalscorer Undav D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
RB Leipzig Compare
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VfB Stuttgart 14 / 100
RB Leipzig 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VfB Stuttgart RB Leipzig
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RB Leipzig Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: VfB Stuttgart scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
RB Leipzig's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Away concern: RB Leipzig has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
VfB Stuttgart VS RB Leipzig
3.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
VfB Stuttgart
(Home) 19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
09 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Viking
04 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 1 1. FC Koln
28 Aug
Bayern Munich
5 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
09 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Viking
04 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 1 1. FC Koln
08 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Everton
01 Aug
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 2 Paris FC
Page 1 of 3
RB Leipzig
(Away) 20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 RB Leipzig
13 Sept
RB Leipzig
5 : 0 Hamburger
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1 RB Leipzig
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1 RB Leipzig
29 Aug
RB Leipzig
3 : 0 B. Monchengladbach
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 RB Leipzig
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1 RB Leipzig
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1 RB Leipzig
22 Aug
Eintracht Trier
0 : 6 RB Leipzig
15 Aug
Bayern Munich
3 : 1 RB Leipzig
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 89 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 62 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 59 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | 44 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | 43 |
| 10 | Mainz | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | 40 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | 39 |
| 12 | B. Monchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | 29 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | 26 |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | 26 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
