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VfL Bremen vs Werder Bremen III - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Werder Bremen III in this Oberliga Bremen 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 4-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Werder Bremen III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
VfL Bremen
30%
Draws
31%
Werder Bremen III
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VfL Bremen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • VfL Bremen haven't matched Werder Bremen III's recent run of results.
  • VfL Bremen are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
VfL Bremen Clean Sheet 11%
Werder Bremen III Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfL Bremen Werder Bremen III
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 14
Draws 5 3
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.33 2.31
Goals Conceded 3.2 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2018 Oberliga Bremen
Werder Bremen III vs VfL Bremen
2:3
Nov 4, 2017 Oberliga Bremen
VfL Bremen vs Werder Bremen III
4:6
Dec 3, 2016 Oberliga Bremen
Werder Bremen III vs VfL Bremen
5:2
Aug 13, 2016 Oberliga Bremen
VfL Bremen vs Werder Bremen III
1:0
Apr 30, 2016 Oberliga Bremen
VfL Bremen vs Werder Bremen III
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfL Bremen 35 / 100
Werder Bremen III 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfL Bremen Werder Bremen III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Werder Bremen III conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.80 goals when they meet.

VfL Bremen's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

VfL Bremen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Werder Bremen III
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

VfL Bremen

(Home)
23 Jul
VfL Bremen
4 : 4
BTS Neustadt
12 May
VfL Bremen
0 : 3
Vatan Bremen
05 May
Werder Bremen III
2 : 3
VfL Bremen
28 Apr
VfL Bremen
0 : 2
Blumenthaler
21 Apr
VfL Bremen
1 : 1
Habenhauser
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Werder Bremen III

(Away)
25 Sept
Werder Bremen III
1 : 1
Leher
20 Sept
Grohn
2 : 1
Werder Bremen III
12 Sept
Werder Bremen III
3 : 1
BTS Neustadt
06 Sept
Schwachhausen
1 : 0
Werder Bremen III
28 Aug
ESC Geestemunde
5 : 2
Werder Bremen III
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brinkumer 30 22 5 3 116:29 71
2 Oberneuland 30 22 4 4 95:29 70
3 Hastedt 30 18 7 5 101:48 61
4 Bremer 30 17 7 6 99:41 58
5 Blumenthaler 30 15 6 9 70:62 51
6 Aumund-Vegesack 30 15 6 9 77:70 51
7 Schwachhausen 30 16 3 11 67:68 51
8 Werder Bremen III 30 11 8 11 65:53 41
9 Leher 30 11 7 12 64:65 40
10 ESC Geestemunde 30 12 4 14 66:75 40
11 Habenhauser 30 7 8 15 40:72 29
12 Vatan Bremen 30 7 6 17 42:82 27
13 OSC Bremerhaven 30 7 5 18 46:94 26
14 BTS Neustadt 30 6 7 17 40:75 25
15 VfL Bremen 30 6 4 20 40:94 22
16 Grolland 30 4 1 25 38:109 13
Promotion - Oberliga Bremen 2017/2018 (Promotion)