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VfL Lohbrugge vs Tornesch

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VfL Lohbrugge play Tornesch in the Oberliga Hamburg 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, VfL Lohbrugge averaged 1.29 goals scored and 2.32 conceded. Tornesch averaged 1.53 goals scored and 2.85 conceded. In past meetings, VfL Lohbrugge won 1, Tornesch won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 7, 2022 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for VfL Lohbrugge and 2.56 for Tornesch. This points to a Tornesch double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
VfL Lohbrugge
17%
Draws
45%
Tornesch
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tornesch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • VfL Lohbrugge picked up more points recently compared to Tornesch.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
VfL Lohbrugge Clean Sheet 10%
Tornesch Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfL Lohbrugge Tornesch
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 7 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 22 20
Goals Scored 1.29 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.32 2.85
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
VfL Lohbrugge vs Tornesch
2:4
Apr 29, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs VfL Lohbrugge
0:1
Mar 14, 2021 Oberliga Hamburg
Tornesch vs VfL Lohbrugge
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfL Lohbrugge 36 / 100
Tornesch 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfL Lohbrugge Tornesch

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tornesch or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

VfL Lohbrugge attacking → ← attacking Tornesch

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfL Lohbrugge scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Tornesch let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

VfL Lohbrugge went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tornesch lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 32
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
3.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38