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VfL Osnabruck vs Holstein Kiel

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

98' Event
Cvjetinovic M.

AI Match Summary

Holstein Kiel in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holstein Kiel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
VfL Osnabruck
30%
Draws
34%
Holstein Kiel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VfL Osnabruck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VfL Osnabruck lately — more wins on the board than Holstein Kiel.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on VfL Osnabruck taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Holstein Kiel have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
VfL Osnabruck Clean Sheet 16%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfL Osnabruck Holstein Kiel
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
VfL Osnabruck vs Holstein Kiel
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabruck
4:0
Nov 4, 2023 2. Bundesliga
VfL Osnabruck vs Holstein Kiel
1:1
Jan 7, 2023 Club Friendly
Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabruck
5:3
Jan 8, 2022 Club Friendly
Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabruck
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VfL Osnabruck Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Holstein Kiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Cvjetinovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfL Osnabruck 36 / 100
Holstein Kiel 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfL Osnabruck Holstein Kiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfL Osnabruck found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Holstein Kiel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: VfL Osnabruck stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VfL Osnabruck VS Holstein Kiel
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

VfL Osnabruck

(Home)
12 Jul
Jablonec
1 : 0
VfL Osnabruck
16 May
VfB Stuttgart II
3 : 4
VfL Osnabruck
09 May
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 1
Ulm
03 May
Wehen
2 : 3
VfL Osnabruck
25 Apr
VfL Osnabruck
2 : 1
Verl
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Holstein Kiel

(Away)
18 Jul
Swansea
2 : 2
Holstein Kiel
15 Jul
Holstein Kiel
4 : 1
Al Ahli SC
10 Jul
Holstein Kiel
2 : 1
Sonderjyske
04 Jul
Holstein Kiel
1 : 3
Fredericia
17 May
Dresden
2 : 1
Holstein Kiel
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