Sport Picks

Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Stadion an der Bremer Brück

VfL Osnabruck

1 - 1

Ulm

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Chessa D.

Assist: Loder E.

31'

Chessa D.

44'

Kehl L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

VfL Osnabruck

40%

Draws

29%

Ulm

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Ulm haven't matched VfL Osnabruck's recent run of results.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular 3. Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

VfL Osnabruck Clean Sheet 19%

Ulm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	VfL Osnabruck	Ulm
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	19	9
Draws	4	5
Losses	6	13
Goals Scored	1.5	1.5
Goals Conceded	1	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 3. Liga

VfL Osnabruck vs Ulm

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Dec 12, 2025 3. Liga

Ulm vs VfL Osnabruck

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

3:5

Mar 2, 2001 2. Bundesliga

Ulm vs VfL Osnabruck

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 4 - 4

1:1

Oct 1, 2000 2. Bundesliga

VfL Osnabruck vs Ulm

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VfL Osnabruck Compare

Top Goalscorer Kehl L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Ulm Compare

Top Goalscorer Chessa D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfL Osnabruck 32 / 100

Ulm 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

VfL Osnabruck Ulm

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfL Osnabruck scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Ulm has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Solid form: VfL Osnabruck remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

VfL Osnabruck VS Ulm

1.5 Goals Scored 1.5

1 Goals Conceded 2.13

50% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	VfL Osnabruck	38	24	8	6	66:34	80
2	Energie Cottbus	38	21	9	8	72:51	72
3	RW Essen	38	20	10	8	78:66	70
4	Duisburg	38	19	11	8	66:49	68
5	Hansa Rostock	38	18	13	7	74:49	67
6	Verl	38	18	10	10	82:48	64
7	Alemannia Aachen	38	19	7	12	76:57	64
8	Munich 1860	38	15	11	12	54:53	56
9	Wehen	38	15	8	15	54:52	53
10	Mannheim	38	15	7	16	59:72	52
11	FC Viktoria Koln	38	15	6	17	51:53	51
12	Ingolstadt	38	13	10	15	65:56	49
13	Regensburg	38	14	7	17	54:58	49
14	VfB Stuttgart II	38	13	7	18	57:69	46
15	Saarbrucken	38	10	14	14	51:57	44
16	Hoffenheim II	38	12	7	19	65:71	43
17	TSV Havelse	38	9	8	21	57:89	35
18	Aue	38	7	13	18	51:70	34
19	Ulm	38	9	6	23	49:78	33
20	1. FC Schweinfurt	38	5	6	27	38:87	21