Sport Picks

Brazil

Maranhense 2 2024

Sao Luis

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Viana play Sao Luis in the Maranhense 2 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Viana averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. Sao Luis averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Viana won 2, Sao Luis won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 20, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.70 for Viana and 2.76 for Sao Luis. This points to a Sao Luis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Viana

17%

Draws

46%

Sao Luis

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sao Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Viana picked up more points recently compared to Sao Luis.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.70 vs 2.76 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Viana Clean Sheet 10%

Sao Luis Clean Sheet 20%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Viana	Sao Luis
Matches Played	29	24
Wins	9	12
Draws	4	5
Losses	16	7
Goals Scored	0.86	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.76	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	0.40	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.40	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2024 Maranhense 2

Viana vs Sao Luis

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Nov 15, 2024 Maranhense 2

Sao Luis vs Viana

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viana 35 / 100

Sao Luis 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Viana Sao Luis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sao Luis or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Viana attacking → ← attacking Sao Luis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viana scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Sao Luis let in goals in 67% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Viana went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sao Luis lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 41

0.40 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

3.40 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00