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Vianes vs Yague

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Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
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Match Events

75' Event
Alfaro Herreros A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 game between Vianes and Yague finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vianes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vianes
20%
Draws
40%
Yague
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vianes come out ahead of Yague on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Vianes Clean Sheet 16%
Yague Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vianes Yague
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 13
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs Yague
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs Vianes
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Yague vs Vianes
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs Yague
0:1
Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Vianes vs Yague
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vianes Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfaro Herreros A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Yague Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vianes 31 / 100
Yague 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vianes Yague

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vianes found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Yague conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Yague's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vianes VS Yague
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vianes

(Home)
13 Sept
Vianes
1 : 2
Pradejon
06 Sept
San Marcial
1 : 0
Vianes
10 May
Vianes
2 : 1
Agoncillo
03 May
Villegas
1 : 1
Vianes
26 Apr
Vianes
0 : 4
CD Calahorra
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Yague

(Away)
18 Sept
Yague
1 : 0
River Ebro
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
09 May
Yague
4 : 4
CD Calahorra
30 Apr
Berceo
2 : 0
Yague
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)