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Vibonese vs Akragas

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Thu, Apr 17, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vibonese host Akragas in the Serie D - Group I 2024/2025. Vibonese go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Vibonese at 0.97 goals for, 1.3 against; Akragas at 0.57 for, 1.7 against. Head-to-head, Vibonese have won 3 to Akragas's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.85 xG vs 1.56) point toward Vibonese. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Vibonese
20%
Draws
7%
Akragas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vibonese lately — more wins on the board than Akragas.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Vibonese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 15%
Akragas Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese Akragas
Matches Played 33 23
Wins 10 2
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Akragas
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Vibonese
0:2
Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Akragas
1:0
Oct 8, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Akragas vs Vibonese
1:2
Dec 22, 2016 Serie C - Group C
Vibonese vs Akragas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 39 / 100
Akragas 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese Akragas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Akragas has conceded goals in 83% of their last 23 outings.

Vibonese's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Vibonese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Akragas registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
Gela
1 : 1
Vibonese
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1
Vibonese
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Akragas

(Away)
09 Mar
Reggina
2 : 0
Akragas
02 Mar
Akragas
0 : 0
AS Acireale
23 Feb
USD Ragusa
3 : 0
Akragas
16 Feb
Akragas
1 : 2
S. Agata
09 Feb
Scafatese
3 : 1
Akragas
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)