Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vibonese vs Gelbison

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Chironi G.
66' Event
Liurni L.
82' Event
Fernandez A.

AI Match Summary

Gelbison in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gelbison.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Vibonese
15%
Draws
46%
Gelbison
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gelbison

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gelbison lately — more wins on the board than Vibonese.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 68%
Gelbison Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese Gelbison
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Gelbison
0:4
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Gelbison vs Vibonese
0:2
Feb 25, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Gelbison vs Vibonese
1:1
Oct 22, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Gelbison
1:1
Mar 6, 2016 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Gelbison
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vibonese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Gelbison Compare

Top Goalscorer Chironi G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Liurni L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 41 / 100
Gelbison 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese Gelbison

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vibonese found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Vibonese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gelbison's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS Gelbison
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
Gela
1 : 1
Vibonese
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1
Vibonese
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Gelbison

(Away)
10 May
Nissa
4 : 0
Gelbison
03 May
Gelbison
1 : 0
Gela
26 Apr
Enna
0 : 1
Gelbison
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1
AS Acireale
12 Apr
Sancataldese
0 : 1
Gelbison
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)