Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vibonese vs Locri 1909

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Alagna F.
77' Event
Alagna F.

AI Match Summary

Vibonese in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vibonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Vibonese
30%
Draws
12%
Locri 1909
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Vibonese have won more games recently than Locri 1909.
  • Model gives Vibonese a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vibonese have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 68%
Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese Locri 1909
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.14 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Locri 1909
2:0
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Vibonese
0:1
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Vibonese
0:3
Oct 29, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Locri 1909
3:0
Feb 12, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Locri 1909
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Alagna F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Locri 1909 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 95 / 100
Locri 1909 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese Locri 1909

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Locri 1909 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Vibonese's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Vibonese remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
27 Sept
Nissa
0 : 2
Vibonese
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
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Locri 1909

(Away)
04 May
Locri 1909
1 : 1
AS Acireale
27 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Locri 1909
17 Apr
Locri 1909
2 : 3
Reggina
13 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Locri 1909
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2
S. Agata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)