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Vicalvaro vs CD Fortuna Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 game between Vicalvaro and CD Fortuna finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vicalvaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Vicalvaro
15%
Draws
42%
CD Fortuna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vicalvaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Vicalvaro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Vicalvaro taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Vicalvaro Clean Sheet 15%
CD Fortuna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vicalvaro CD Fortuna
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 21
Goals Scored 0.91 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Vicalvaro vs CD Fortuna
2:1
Oct 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Fortuna vs Vicalvaro
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vicalvaro 35 / 100
CD Fortuna 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vicalvaro CD Fortuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Fortuna has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: CD Fortuna registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Vicalvaro scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Vicalvaro VS CD Fortuna
1 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vicalvaro

(Home)
15 Aug
Vicalvaro
0 : 3
Carabanchel
19 May
Vicalvaro
0 : 1
RSD Alcala
12 May
Santa Ana
6 : 2
Vicalvaro
05 May
Vicalvaro
1 : 0
Alcorcon B
28 Apr
Tres Cantos
1 : 0
Vicalvaro
Page 1 of 7

CD Fortuna

(Away)
05 Sept
CD Fortuna
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
13 May
Mexico
1 : 0
CD Fortuna
06 May
CD Fortuna
1 : 2
AD Colmenar
02 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
CD Fortuna
29 Apr
CD Fortuna
1 : 4
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Fuenlabrada 38 22 7 9 60:33 73
2 Real Madrid C 38 19 10 9 65:33 67
3 Puerta Bonita 38 18 12 8 42:32 66
4 Parla 38 18 10 10 60:39 64
5 AD Colmenar 38 17 11 10 59:42 62
6 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 16 13 9 46:40 61
7 Carabanchel 38 16 12 10 40:32 60
8 Mexico 38 15 11 12 52:43 56
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 15 10 13 47:41 55
10 Colonia Moscardo 38 13 14 11 42:31 53
11 Rayo Majadahonda 38 12 16 10 52:38 52
12 Union Adarve 38 13 13 12 32:34 52
13 Atl. Madrid C 38 12 12 14 49:52 48
14 Villaviciosa de Odon 38 13 8 17 34:48 47
15 Trival Valderas 38 10 16 12 50:52 46
16 Atletico Pinto 38 12 9 17 42:53 45
17 CD Mostoles 38 11 9 18 38:60 39
18 Navalcarnero 38 8 10 20 41:64 34
19 Vicalvaro 38 7 8 23 28:69 29
20 CD Fortuna 38 4 7 27 17:60 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)