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Victor San Marino vs Carpi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
D'Este N.
22' Event
Cortesi M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Victor San Marino
39%
Draws
31%
Carpi
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Victor San Marino lately — more wins on the board than Carpi.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Victor San Marino Clean Sheet 68%
Carpi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victor San Marino Carpi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Victor San Marino vs Carpi
1:1
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Carpi vs Victor San Marino
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victor San Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Este N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Carpi Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortesi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victor San Marino 41 / 100
Carpi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victor San Marino Carpi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victor San Marino's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Carpi has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Victor San Marino went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Carpi
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Victor San Marino

(Home)
12 May
Corticella
2 : 1
Victor San Marino
05 May
Victor San Marino
3 : 2
San Donnino
28 Apr
Prato
0 : 2
Victor San Marino
21 Apr
Victor San Marino
1 : 0
Imolese
14 Apr
Forli FC
3 : 0
Victor San Marino
Page 1 of 6

Carpi

(Away)
26 Apr
Guidonia 1937
2 : 3
Carpi
18 Apr
Carpi
0 : 1
Forli FC
12 Apr
Vis Pesaro
3 : 0
Carpi
03 Apr
Carpi
2 : 0
US Pontedera
21 Mar
Carpi
1 : 2
Pineto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Carpi32215666:3168
2Ravenna32199456:1366
3Corticella321831159:4057
4Victor San Marino32176944:3757
5Lentigione32168849:3156
6Forli FC32167948:3555
7Prato321281237:4144
8Sangiuliano City321281232:3744
9Fanfulla3211101128:3543
10Sant'Angelo321181347:4441
11Aglianese Calcio321181332:3941
12Imolese321261431:3340
13Sammaurese321141737:4837
14SCD Progresso321141727:4337
15San Donnino325101732:5825
16Certaldo32662022:5524
17Mezzolara32562123:5021
18Pistoiese00000:00
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 (Play Offs)