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Victor San Marino vs Corticella

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Farinelli N.
28' Event
Bertani R.
76' Event
Lattarulo I.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 game between Victor San Marino and Corticella finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Corticella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Victor San Marino
6%
Draws
4%
Corticella
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Victor San Marino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Victor San Marino come out ahead of Corticella on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Victor San Marino taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Corticella have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Victor San Marino Clean Sheet 68%
Corticella Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victor San Marino Corticella
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 15 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Victor San Marino
2:1
Feb 18, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Victor San Marino vs Corticella
1:2
Oct 25, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Corticella vs Victor San Marino
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victor San Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Lattarulo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Corticella Compare

Top Goalscorer Farinelli N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bertani R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victor San Marino 95 / 100
Corticella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victor San Marino Corticella

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victor San Marino's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Corticella let in goals in 85% of their last 39 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Victor San Marino has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Corticella
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Carpi32215666:3168
2Ravenna32199456:1366
3Corticella321831159:4057
4Victor San Marino32176944:3757
5Lentigione32168849:3156
6Forli FC32167948:3555
7Prato321281237:4144
8Sangiuliano City321281232:3744
9Fanfulla3211101128:3543
10Sant'Angelo321181347:4441
11Aglianese Calcio321181332:3941
12Imolese321261431:3340
13Sammaurese321141737:4837
14SCD Progresso321141727:4337
15San Donnino325101732:5825
16Certaldo32662022:5524
17Mezzolara32562123:5021
18Pistoiese00000:00