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Victor San Marino vs Imolese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Haruna A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 game between Victor San Marino and Imolese finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Victor San Marino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Victor San Marino
33%
Draws
27%
Imolese
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Victor San Marino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Victor San Marino come out ahead of Imolese on wins alone.
  • Model gives Victor San Marino a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Victor San Marino Clean Sheet 68%
Imolese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victor San Marino Imolese
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Victor San Marino vs Imolese
1:0
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Imolese vs Victor San Marino
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victor San Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Haruna A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Imolese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victor San Marino 50 / 100
Imolese 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victor San Marino Imolese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victor San Marino found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Imolese let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Victor San Marino remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Imolese's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Imolese
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Carpi32215666:3168
2Ravenna32199456:1366
3Corticella321831159:4057
4Victor San Marino32176944:3757
5Lentigione32168849:3156
6Forli FC32167948:3555
7Prato321281237:4144
8Sangiuliano City321281232:3744
9Fanfulla3211101128:3543
10Sant'Angelo321181347:4441
11Aglianese Calcio321181332:3941
12Imolese321261431:3340
13Sammaurese321141737:4837
14SCD Progresso321141727:4337
15San Donnino325101732:5825
16Certaldo32662022:5524
17Mezzolara32562123:5021
18Pistoiese00000:00