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Victor San Marino vs Sant'Angelo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Lozza S.
3' Event
Arlotti S.
14' Event
Arlotti S.

AI Match Summary

Victor San Marino in this Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Victor San Marino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Victor San Marino
33%
Draws
27%
Sant'Angelo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Victor San Marino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Victor San Marino have won more games recently than Sant'Angelo.
  • Model gives Victor San Marino a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Victor San Marino Clean Sheet 68%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victor San Marino Sant'Angelo
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Victor San Marino vs Sant'Angelo
3:2
Oct 1, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Victor San Marino
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victor San Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Arlotti S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lozza S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sant'Angelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariani E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gobbi F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victor San Marino 50 / 100
Sant'Angelo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victor San Marino Sant'Angelo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victor San Marino found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Sant'Angelo let in goals in 78% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Victor San Marino has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sant'Angelo
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Carpi32215666:3168
2Ravenna32199456:1366
3Corticella321831159:4057
4Victor San Marino32176944:3757
5Lentigione32168849:3156
6Forli FC32167948:3555
7Prato321281237:4144
8Sangiuliano City321281232:3744
9Fanfulla3211101128:3543
10Sant'Angelo321181347:4441
11Aglianese Calcio321181332:3941
12Imolese321261431:3340
13Sammaurese321141737:4837
14SCD Progresso321141727:4337
15San Donnino325101732:5825
16Certaldo32662022:5524
17Mezzolara32562123:5021
18Pistoiese00000:00