Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024

Victor San Marino

3 - 4

SCD Progresso

Our Tip

Match Events

Cancello R.

53'

Arlotti S.

60'

Matta G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SCD Progresso in this Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored SCD Progresso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Victor San Marino

33%

Draws

40%

SCD Progresso

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: SCD Progresso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Victor San Marino lately — more wins on the board than SCD Progresso.
SCD Progresso are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Regular Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 25%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Victor San Marino Clean Sheet 21%

SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Victor San Marino	SCD Progresso
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	15	11
Draws	5	8
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	0	1.13
Goals Conceded	0	1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Serie D - Group D

Victor San Marino vs SCD Progresso

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

3:4

Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group D

SCD Progresso vs Victor San Marino

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victor San Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Arlotti S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader D'Este N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

SCD Progresso Compare

Top Goalscorer Cancello R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Matta G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victor San Marino 29 / 100

SCD Progresso 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Victor San Marino SCD Progresso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victor San Marino scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: SCD Progresso conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Victor San Marino stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SCD Progresso

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 1

0% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Carpi	32	21	5	6	66:31	68
2	Ravenna	32	19	9	4	56:13	66
3	Corticella	32	18	3	11	59:40	57
4	Victor San Marino	32	17	6	9	44:37	57
5	Lentigione	32	16	8	8	49:31	56
6	Forli FC	32	16	7	9	48:35	55
7	Prato	32	12	8	12	37:41	44
8	Sangiuliano City	32	12	8	12	32:37	44
9	Fanfulla	32	11	10	11	28:35	43
10	Sant'Angelo	32	11	8	13	47:44	41
11	Aglianese Calcio	32	11	8	13	32:39	41
12	Imolese	32	12	6	14	31:33	40
13	Sammaurese	32	11	4	17	37:48	37
14	SCD Progresso	32	11	4	17	27:43	37
15	San Donnino	32	5	10	17	32:58	25
16	Certaldo	32	6	6	20	22:55	24
17	Mezzolara	32	5	6	21	23:50	21
18	Pistoiese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0