Sport Picks

Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2025/2026 Party-Rent-Arena

Victoria Rosport

1 - 0

Mondorf

Our Tip

Match Events

Kyereh F.

Assist: Marques K.

49'

Kumbi J.

60'

Sub

Stoltz L. In: Daham S.

Out: Stoltz L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The BGL Ligue 2025/2026 game between Victoria Rosport and Mondorf finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Victoria Rosport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Victoria Rosport

28%

Draws

50%

Mondorf

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Mondorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Mondorf carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Mondorf a 50% chance of winning this.
Regular BGL Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Victoria Rosport Clean Sheet 14%

Mondorf Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Victoria Rosport	Mondorf
Matches Played	33	32
Wins	14	18
Draws	5	4
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	1.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	2	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 BGL Ligue

Victoria Rosport vs Mondorf

Possession: 40% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Nov 30, 2025 BGL Ligue

Mondorf vs Victoria Rosport

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

4:0

Feb 16, 2025 BGL Ligue

Mondorf vs Victoria Rosport

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

2:3

Aug 18, 2024 BGL Ligue

Victoria Rosport vs Mondorf

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Apr 28, 2024 BGL Ligue

Victoria Rosport vs Mondorf

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victoria Rosport Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyereh F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Mondorf Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Rosport 23 / 100

Mondorf 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Victoria Rosport Mondorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victoria Rosport scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Mondorf conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Mondorf registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Victoria Rosport VS Mondorf

1.38 Goals Scored 1.25

2 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 50%

88% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bissen	30	20	5	5	70:27	65
2	Differdange	30	19	8	3	63:22	65
3	Mondorf	30	19	3	8	51:24	60
4	UNA Strassen	30	17	7	6	57:26	58
5	Dudelange	30	17	7	6	59:38	58
6	Jeunesse Esch	30	10	10	10	35:34	40
7	Racing Luxembourg	30	11	7	12	48:50	40
8	Kaerjeng	30	11	5	14	43:48	38
9	Hostert	30	10	6	14	35:56	36
10	Victoria Rosport	30	10	5	15	33:50	35
11	Progres Niedercorn	30	9	7	14	44:47	34
12	Hesperange	30	9	5	16	31:46	32
13	Jeunesse Canach	30	9	4	17	29:44	31
14	FC Mamer	30	8	5	17	33:59	29
15	Union Titus Petange	30	6	7	17	26:49	25
16	FC Rodange 91	30	6	7	17	28:65	25