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Victoria Rosport vs Mondorf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue Party-Rent-Arena, Rosport
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Estrada K.
Assist: Knoepffler A.
18' Event
Goncalves S.
Assist: Marques K.
39' Event
Far H.
Assist: Baal L.

AI Match Summary

Mondorf in this BGL Ligue matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mondorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Victoria Rosport
15%
Draws
48%
Mondorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mondorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Mondorf have won more games recently than Victoria Rosport.
  • Mondorf are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular BGL Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Victoria Rosport Clean Sheet 10%
Mondorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Rosport Mondorf
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 BGL Ligue
Victoria Rosport vs Mondorf
2:3
May 10, 2026 BGL Ligue
Victoria Rosport vs Mondorf
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs Victoria Rosport
4:0
Feb 16, 2025 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs Victoria Rosport
2:3
Aug 18, 2024 BGL Ligue
Victoria Rosport vs Mondorf
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victoria Rosport Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walbrecq L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Mondorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrada K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Far H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Rosport 10 / 100
Mondorf 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Rosport Mondorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mondorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Victoria Rosport scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Mondorf has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Victoria Rosport stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Victoria Rosport VS Mondorf
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria Rosport

(Home)
11 Oct
Hesperange
0 : 3
Victoria Rosport
20 Sept
CS Sanem
1 : 3
Victoria Rosport
16 Sept
Victoria Rosport
1 : 1
Ettelbruck
11 Sept
Kaerjeng
5 : 0
Victoria Rosport
05 Sept
Victoria Rosport
0 : 2
Hostert
Page 1 of 6

Mondorf

(Away)
11 Oct
Rumelange
1 : 2
Mondorf
20 Sept
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz
1 : 10
Mondorf
16 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
2 : 1
Mondorf
13 Sept
Mondorf
1 : 2
UNA Strassen
06 Sept
Bissen
1 : 2
Mondorf
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UNA Strassen 8 8 0 0 17:2 24
2 Differdange 8 7 0 1 19:5 21
3 Mondorf 8 6 0 2 16:11 18
4 Racing Luxembourg 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
5 Progres Niedercorn 8 5 1 2 13:5 16
6 Kaerjeng 8 5 0 3 23:15 15
7 Bissen 8 5 0 3 18:11 15
8 FC Residence Walferdange 8 5 0 3 16:10 15
9 Hostert 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
10 Jeunesse Esch 8 2 1 5 14:17 7
11 Dudelange 8 2 1 5 8:15 7
12 Rumelange 8 2 0 6 8:23 6
13 Victoria Rosport 8 1 2 5 11:20 5
14 Ettelbruck 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
15 Wiltz 8 1 1 6 14:22 4
16 Hesperange 8 0 0 8 2:30 -12
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue (Relegation)