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Victoria vs Falesti Prediction & H2H Stats

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Victoria Logo

Victoria

1 - 2
FT
Falesti Logo

Falesti

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 2025/2026 game between Victoria and Falesti finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Falesti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Victoria
15%
Draws
26%
Falesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Victoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Falesti have managed 1.23 goals a game lately — Victoria are scoring more at 1.39.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Victoria taking it.
  • Regular Liga 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Victoria Clean Sheet 13%
Falesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Falesti
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 1.39 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.71 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga 1
Victoria vs Falesti
2:1
Sep 1, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Victoria vs Falesti
5:3
Aug 8, 2026 Liga 1
Falesti vs Victoria
1:0
Mar 13, 2026 Liga 1
Victoria vs Falesti
1:2
Sep 30, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Falesti vs Victoria
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria 57 / 100
Falesti 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Falesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Falesti conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Victoria found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Victoria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Victoria VS Falesti
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria

(Home)
18 Sept
Stauceni
4 : 1
Victoria
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
04 Sept
Oguzsport
1 : 1
Victoria
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
28 Aug
Victoria
0 : 2
National Ialoveni
Page 1 of 7

Falesti

(Away)
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2
Oguzsport
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FCM Ungheni 7 5 0 2 24:13 15
2 Falesti 7 4 1 2 12:8 13
3 Univer Comrat 7 3 2 2 11:12 11
4 Oguzsport 7 2 3 2 7:8 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 7 3 0 4 11:10 9
6 Victoria 7 2 2 3 10:15 8
7 Olimp Comrat 7 2 2 3 12:15 8
8 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 7 1 2 4 6:12 5
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)